Thursday, June 3, 2010

RP Data April 2010 Index

In the month of April all cities recorded capital gains substantially less than the national average of one per cent per month in the previous 12 months, with Melbourne’s monthly growth rate halving from 1.6 per cent per month in the year to March to just 0.8 per cent in April.

Several cities recorded a dip in home values in April, with Brisbane values down 1.2 per cent, Perth values down 0.9 per cent and Darwin recording a 0.3 per cent fall. While both Brisbane and Perth have been consistently weak performers over the last year, Darwin dwellings have risen in value by 54 per cent since the start of 2007.

According to Tim Lawless, RP Data’s Director of Research, the April results are the lowest monthly capital gain since the end of the GFC-induced downturn in December 2008.

“A wide range of indicators have been hinting that a slowdown was on the cards. We are in a market now that has lower auction clearances, weaker home loan approvals, and lower consumer confidence. Combined with the six recent interest rate rises, and the fact that home values have recorded very large gains across key markets since the start of 2009, it is not surprising to see values start to track sideways,” Mr Lawless said.

Christopher Joye, CEO of Rismark International, added, “We have been forecasting a cooling in capital growth rates back down to single digit levels since October last year. Australian disposable household incomes rose by 11.5 per cent in 2009—unsurprisingly, the cost of housing increased by almost exactly the same amount. In 2010, disposable household income growth will be less than 5 per cent. Over the long-run, residential property values track purchasing power quite closely. We believe 2010 will be no different in this regard.”

Brisbane Apartments - medium prices
Month of April - down 1.2%
Quarter - down 0.4%
Year to Date - up 2.2%
Year on Year - up 6.8%
Medium price over quarter - settled sales - $375,000

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