REIQ Quarterly Report

The real estate agent's industry group, REIQ, released a report this week into the Queensland residential property market.  From the REIQ press release, which is always somewhat optimistic:

"THE house market has rebounded from a period of low listings with a surge of stock, in some markets as much as 100 per cent more in the March quarter, according to the REIQ’s March Quarter Queensland Market Monitor.

Looking at southeast areas where the market is performing well, the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast were the two strongest performing markets in Queensland again this quarter, outperforming Brisbane (as they did last quarter).

The Sunshine Coast continues to grow and, along with the Gold Coast, these centres formed the top two most popular migration destinations for people moving within Australia in 2016.   More than 12,000 people moved to these two coastal destinations (excluding overseas immigration) last year, according to ABS data.

Noosa was the top annual median house performer with an annual growth of 9.2 per cent compared with March 2016. This has positioned Noosa as the second-most expensive house market with an annual median sale price of $615,000.

The unit market over the past 12 months has begun to show signs of easing, with the annual median unit price falling 1.9 per cent to $445,000.  However, that slight easing doesn’t represent the whole story for Brisbane’s unit and townhouse market.

There are suburbs that have done well this quarter, including Albion (up 5 per cent since December), Bulimba (up 26.8 per cent this quarter), Indooroopilly (up 18.5 per cent), New Farm (up 7.5 per cent), Rochedale (21.1 per cent), Taringa (4.8 per cent) and Toowoong (up 3.2 per cent since December).  [Editor note:  this is likely because of new apartments being sold for the first time, not price increases in existing apartments.]

  

Brisbane LGA suburbs where units have done well over 12 months and five years include:

• ·       Annerley
• ·       Balmoral
• ·       Bridgeman Downs
• ·       Coopers Plains
• ·       Coorparoo
• ·       Darra
• ·       Greenslopes
• ·       Highgate Hill
• ·       Manly
• ·       Manly West
• ·       Mount Gravatt
• ·       Norman Park
• ·       Red Hill
• ·       Richlands
• ·       Rochedale
• ·       Toowong
• ·       Wakerley
• ·       Wynnum

Units are becoming more popular with Queenslanders. CoreLogic has reported that 17 per cent of Queenslanders live in an apartment, just behind New South Wales’ 22 per cent and ahead of Victoria’s 15 per cent.

“The REIQ is confident the long-term future of apartments is secure and particularly in the inner-city where such exciting projects as Queen’s Wharf and the Howard Smith Wharves are adding to the night-time economy of inner Brisbane.  Added to South Bank, Milton’s Caxton Street and the Barracks, the West End, and Eat Street Markets, this is a diverse and vibrant inner-city and the demand for inner-city apartments will continue to grow over time,” Ms Mercorella from REIQ said.

Failure to settle an off the plan contract was a costly decision

The Queensland Supreme Court recently decided a case involving an off the plan apartment contract in the Soul building at Surfers Paradise.

The case is Juniper Property Holdings No 15 P/L v Caltabiano (No 2) [2016] QSC 005 

Mr Caltabiano purchased the penthouse in Soul in July 2006 for $16.85 million, a lot of money for a 519 sqm apartment.  Mr Caltabiano failed to settle upon completion of the building in 2012.  So the developer forfeited the deposit, and sued Mr Caltabiano for damages.  The developer resold the penthouse in April 2015 for $7M.  So the claim for damages was $8.8M plus interest under the contract for failure to settle for over $3M.

Mr Caltabiano claimed that the sales agent was misleading -- it was claimed that at the request of Mr Caltabiano, the sales agent provided information in an oral discussion regarding supposedly comparable sales in Jade and Q1.  Mr Caltabiano never checked whether this information was correct.

The judge decided that the sales agent did not make the alleged misleading statements.  Even if they were made, they were not relied up by Mr Caltabiano.

77. "The defendant submits that the fact that he did not obtain external advice as to the value of the Soul penthouse or the prudence of the purchase only serves to emphasise his reliance on the alleged representations. However, in my view, it is commercially illogical and inherently improbable that in deciding upon a $16.85 million purchase the defendant would not have obtained such advice because of reliance on the alleged representations made by the plaintiff’s sales consultant comprising comparisons with properties that the defendant did not know anything about. This is where the defendant’s story is incredible." 

See http://www.sclqld.org.au/caselaw/QSC/2016/005

This shows one of the many dangers of buying off the plan.  Values may go down substantially between contract and settlement, but you still have to settle.  And if you don't, then you are in big trouble.

Legal Claim Against Meriton

A Meriton construction company is being sued by a body corporate for building defects.

"BILLIONAIRE developer Harry Triguboff is at the centre of a legal battle with a body corporate over who should foot a $2 million repair bill for one of his Southport residential high rises."

Meriton is also the developer of the Infinity and Soleil towers in Brisbane.

See Gold Coast Business News

Florida Foreclosures

It is interesting to see that in Florida, it is possible to buy a one bedroom apartment for less than $80,000, including whitegoods.

1)  http://searchbankproperties.com/2014/03/bank-owned-condo-in-bermuda-dunes/

2)  http://searchbankproperties.com/2014/03/bank-owned-condo-orlando/

Makes the Gold Coast look very overpriced.

Queensland Coastal Apartments - Capital Losses

RP Data recently issued is "Coastal Housing Markets - December 2013" report.

"Across the Sunshine Coast, median house values are typically most expensive in the Noosa region and most affordable between Caloundra and Maroochydore. Sunshine Beach has the most expensive median house value ($894,733) and Currimundi the most affordable at $400,631.

Median house values across the Gold Coast and Tweed Coast tend to be most expensive at the northern end of the Gold Coast. Across the region, the most expensive houses are found in Surfers Paradise ($962,563) and the most affordable are in Labrador ($392,681)."

Medium value as at September 2013 for apartments:
Noosa Heads - $528,000
Maroochydore - $323,857
Mooloolaba - $358,380
Kings Beach - $367,888
Surfers Paradise - $337,767
Broadbeach - $401,824
Palm Cove - $336,795
Port Douglas - $251,312

Number of apartment sales:
Noosa Heads - 238
Maroochydore - 404
Mooloolaba - 234
Kings Beach - 124
Surfers Paradise - 1068
Broadbeach - 418
Palm Cove - 54
Port Douglas - 270

Change in value over past 5 years
Noosa Heads -  negative 23.3%
Maroochydore - negative 17%
Mooloolaba -  negative 5.2%
Kings Beach - negative 13.7%
Surfers Paradise - negative 15.4%
Broadbeach - negative 10.5%
Palm Cove - negative 21.5%
Port Douglas - negative 13.1%

Oracle Gold Coast Losses

Virtually every purchaser off-the-plan at The Oracle development (now branded Peppers) on the Gold Coast has lost money when reselling.  See article here.

Hilton Gold Coast Capital Losses

"According to RP Data, since January last year 66 apartments have sold in the Boulevard Tower, with resales making up a small proportion of the total.  

Unit 10504 was bought off the plan for $850,000 in February 2008 and sold on May 30 this year for just $505,000, a 40.5 per cent drop in value.  In July this year, unit 10607 sold for $435,000, a 32 per cent dip in price from January 2011 when a buyer paid $647,000.  A unit on the 21st floor was purchased for $910,000 in January 2008 and sold in November last year for just $525,000."

See Courier Mail

An agent is quoted as saying losses of 30% on the Gold Coast are not unusual.  Take care when buying!

HTW Valuer's Month in Review Report

HTW Property Valuers say in their recent monthly report that, for apartments, the Brisbane market is improving, the Gold Coast market is declining, and the Sunshine Coast market has bottomed out.

[Click chart to view]

REIQ reports that apartment demand is increasing

Sales of units and townhouses across Queensland have strengthened further over the last year, according to the latest Real Estate Institute of Queensland (REIQ) data report.  Over the March quarter, the preliminary numbers of unit sales in Queensland increased by 2 per cent compared to the same period last year.

But it is sales in our major tourism centres of Cairns and the Gold and Sunshine coasts that are the real story with sales sky-rocketing over the past year in these areas.

“The popularity of units and townhouses in our major tourist precincts has returned,” REIQ CEO Anton Kardash said.  “These areas have experienced the highs and lows of the GFC, and the strength of the Aussie dollar, more than most over the past four years so it is heartening to see them stepping back into the light.  Many of these areas have also become more affordable, even those with unique seaside locations, so this is no doubt spurring buyers into action before the tide has turned to the positive completely.” 

In Brisbane, the median unit price was steady at $390,000 over the March quarter. Solid performers over the period were Upper Mount Gravatt and Kelvin Grove which posted price growth of 9.6 per cent and 8.8 per cent respectively. 

[Click on chart to enlarge]

Gold Coast Bottomed!!

After a recent auction, Ray White Gold Coast is saying positive things, yet again, about the Gold Coast property market.  In every press release that I have seen over the past 10 years from Ray White Gold Coast, they appear to be saying that now is the time to buy!   Always optomistic.

When I visited the Gold Coast recently, it looked old, tired and tatty.  It is not a nice resort town.  Even if the prices halve again, I would have trouble buying on the Gold Coast.  (Another recent story:  Brisbane residents prefer to vacation in Melbourne rather than the Gold Coast!)

From Fairfax:
The value of some homes on the troubled coastal strip have halved since 2007 and data from Australian Property Monitors shows the median house price in Surfers Paradise fell 33 per cent in a year. Apartment prices dropped 5 per cent. Property can sit on the market for months – even years. While it was still too early to be talking about recovery, Sunday's result showed that prices had stopped falling, he said. "I've got no hesitation in saying the market has bottomed," Mr Bell said."
See Fairfax

Soul Surfers Paradise

The receivers of Soul have started a marketing campaign.  See www.soulatsurfersparadise.com.au.  The pricing on the Internet seems to show high discounts for the more expensive apartments.

BOQ's view

"We've seen signs that it's bottomed and there have been a few good sales on the Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast and even Cairns,'' Mr Grimshaw said in Brisbane yesterday after BOQ's annual general meeting.

Courier Mail

Juniper's Fire Sale of Retail Assets

The collapse of the Soul development at Surfers Paradise must be really hurting the Juniper empire.  Juniper has listed what appears to be all its retail investments for sale, looking for offers this month.  Looks like a fire sale.  The Sea Temple Gold Club at Port Douglas is also for sale through the same agents, but it is unclear if this is also a sale by Juniper.  Many investors have lost money over the years buying from Juniper.  Now it is Junipers turn.