Showing posts with label corelogic. Show all posts
Showing posts with label corelogic. Show all posts

Saturday, March 3, 2018

No Price Growth for Brisbane Apartments

RP Data CoreLogic have issued their Home Value Index Report for March 2018.

The medium price for apartments has dropped from $400,000 in April 2017 and $389,000 in August 2014 to $383,000.   This price decline does not take into account stamp duty or agents fees.  For example, a person buying an apartment for $400,000 a year ago, really paid $412,000 including stamp duty, and selling it for $380,000 today is only receiving about $368,000 after agents fees.  So the loss is actually $44,000 or about 10% loss.  It appears that the loss is going to increase over the next few years.

I suspect that anyone who purchased an apartment after 2010 would be selling at a significant loss if having to sell today.

CoreLogic head of research, Tim Lawless, said, “The overall softening in the market becomes more evident when looking at the change in values over the past three months.” 


Brisbane apartment prices (to 28 February 2018)
February 2018 - no change
Quarter - down 0.3%
Year to Date - up 0.1%
Year on Year - down 0.6% 
Median value - $383,000

Monday, May 15, 2017

Five months supply

A report from RP Data CoreLogic today says that there is about 5 months supply of property for sale in Brisbane.  This does not include off the plan properties that are for sale.
The months of supply figure compares the number of unique properties advertised for sale to the number of transactions in the market.  The analysis provides an insight into how long it should take to clear the volume of stock currently available for sale.  Off-the-plan housing stock is typically not advertised for sale as individual properties and as a result is not included within this analysis.
Based on the relationship between demonstrated housing demand and advertised stock levels, CoreLogic is seeing relatively more stock available for sale compared to demand for that stock across the capital cities at the moment.

Monday, May 1, 2017

Brisbane Apartment Prices in Freefall

The latest CoreLogic report, issued today, shows that the prices of Brisbane apartments are falling, dramatically.
See https://issuu.com/corelogicaustralia/docs/2017-05-01--corelogichomevalueindex

Brisbane apartment prices (to 30 April 2017)
April 2017 - down 3.1%
Quarter - down 1.9%
Year to Date - down 2.1%
Year on Year - down 3.1% 
Median price based on settled sales of Brisbane apartments over the quarter - $400,000

A 3% decline on a $500,000 apartment is a loss of $15,000.

Rents are also dropping, on my rough calculation by about 5%.

Thursday, February 2, 2017

Brisbane Still Going Backwards

According to RP Data CoreLogic, Brisbane apartments did badly in 2016.  See report here.
Brisbane apartment prices (to 31 January 2017):
January 2017 - down 0.1%
Quarter - up 0.2%
Year on Year - down 2.7% 
Median price based on settled sales of Brisbane apartments over the quarter - $380,000

The report says:
Mr Lawless cites the large number of high-rise units currently under construction as another factor that may slow overall housing market performance. He said, “Dwelling approvals have already peaked across the high rise sector, as have construction commencements. However, the unit supply pipeline remains at unprecedented levels with a large proportion of these high rise units located within the inner city regions.”
“As these units flow through to settlement, the risk of buyers receiving a finance shock is becoming heightened.”
”Metadata flowing across CoreLogic valuation platforms is showing more than 40% of off-the-plan settlement valuations are coming in under contract price across the Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth unit sectors. While the large majority of these ‘under valuations’ are not showing a significant gap between the contract price and settlement valuation, more significant differences can be seen in some projects and precincts. Buyers who receive a valuation lower than the original contract price will generally require a larger than expected deposit in order to meet the loan to valuation ratio required by the lender.” 

Monday, June 6, 2016

Brisbane Apartment Prices Up Slightly: RP Data CoreLogic report for May 2016

Brisbane apartment prices (to 31 May 2016):
May 2016 - up 1.3%
Quarter - up 0.8%
Year to Date - up 2.3%
Year on Year - up 2.4%  (Sydney is up 15%, Melbourne up 8%)
Median price based on settled sales of Brisbane apartments over the quarter - $385,000

Monday, January 4, 2016

Brisbane apartment market looking grim

According to the CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index, dwelling values were absolutely flat across the combined capitals during December, with negative movements in Sydney, Adelaide and Canberra being offset by a rise in dwelling values across the remaining five capital cities. The Sydney housing market was the main drag on the December results, with dwelling values down 1.2%, while values were down 1.5% in Adelaide and 1.1% in Canberra, and down 0.5% for Brisbane apartments.

See full report here.

Brisbane apartment prices (to 31 December 2015):
December 2015 - down 0.5%
Quarter - no change
Year on Year - up 1.8%
Median price based on settled sales of Brisbane apartments over the quarter - $390,000

This is not a good result for the Brisbane apartment market for 2015.

The long term view for the Brisbane apartment market looks very uncertain.

There are a huge number of apartments being constructed.  There are also a number of new hotels opening, which impacts the short term rental markets (for example,  negatively impacting rents in apartment buildings such as Charlotte Towers, Aurora, Felix, Casino Towers and Festival Towers).  At present, from my informal survey, rents are decreasing in Brisbane and vacancy periods are significantly increasing.  This will only get worse.  I am not the only one say this.  See AFR article.

It is likely that valuations for new apartments sold off the plan in Brisbane will come in lower than the contract price, which may impact whether non-cash buyers will be able to settle.

My prediction for 2016 is that we may see values fall in 2nd tier buildings and remain flat in prestige buildings.  Rents will likely continue to decrease.  It looks grim.  What happened to the Gold Coast about 5 years ago (remember, Soul, Hilton and Oracle) may happen in Brisbane this year or next.

Friday, August 7, 2015

Brisbane Apartments and Units perform poorly

CoreLogic (RP Data) has released its recent monthly housing report.

"According to Mr Lawless, the strongest growth conditions outside of Sydney and Melbourne have been in Brisbane where dwelling values were 3.9 per cent higher over the year. Sydney and Melbourne values continue to boom, the next best performing city, Brisbane, has seen dwelling values rise by just 3.9 per cent over the past twelve months. Based on the median dwelling price, Sydney prices are now 72 per cent higher than Brisbane’s and Melbourne’s are 24 per cent higher,” he said."

However, apartments in Brisbane performed very poorly when compared with houses.  In fact, apartment values have declined in Brisbane.

Brisbane apartment prices (to 31 July 2015):
July 2015 - down 1.9%
Quarter - down 2.3%
Year to Date - down 0.8%
Year on Year - down 2.5%
Median price based on settled sales of Brisbane apartments over the quarter - $380,000