Showing posts with label investor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label investor. Show all posts

Monday, November 3, 2014

Tax for foreign investors on transactions involving taxable Australian property

On 31 October 2014, the Government released a discussion paper outlining the proposed design options for implementing the previously announced non-final withholding tax in relation to disposals by foreign residents of certain 'taxable Australian property' assets. The measure is proposed to commence from 1 July 2016.


The measure was originally contained in the former Government's 2013-14 Budget. The current Government announced on 6 November 2013 that it would proceed with the measure.


The release of the discussion paper will be of interest to those foreign investors who may be considering divesting their Australian real property or business assets over the next few years, as well as investors who are considering acquiring such assets from foreign investors over the same time period.


For full details, see King & Wood Mallesons publication

Sunday, October 5, 2014

Oversupply of Brisbane Units

There have been a number of articles this year regarding an oversupply of apartments in Brisbane, especially new high-rise in areas close to the city.  A large number of apartment buildings have completed recently, but there are many more on the way.  Most of the new apartments are being sold to foreign investors, and will be rented.

At present, a higher than usual number of apartments are available for rent in Brisbane.  Agents are reporting that it is taking a long time to rent apartments, and that rents are falling.  For example, a very nice riverfront apartment was without a tenant for 4 weeks, and finally rented for $50 a week below the asking rent.  Some owners are offering 4 weeks free rent.  For third-tier apartments, the rents have dropped dramatically.  The situation is not likely to improve any time soon.

When the foreign investors come to sell, they will not be able to sell to other foreigners.  So the pool of potential buyers will be much smaller.  This will cause significant price decreases for resales of apartments.  Currently, many apartments that are not being sold by developers (i.e., not new apartments that have FIRB approval) are taking a long time to sell in Brisbane.

Some articles of note:
Bubble Deflating
Warning on Brisbane apartment boom
Not pretty
High-rise Oversupply?
Prices Down Due to Oversupply
Areas to Avoid
Yield Compression
Mixed Outlook
Prices Plunge

Friday, August 1, 2014

Housing Price Supply and Demand

From the AFR on 30 July 2014, p. 28

"Recent house price appreciation has been driven by more than simply a strongly growing population.  Low interest rates have encouraged domestic investors to allocate assets into housing.  Foreign investors have also been buying.  A reduced rental return on housing would eventually discourage domestic investors but probably comes with a lag.

The apparent equalisation between an undersupply of housing versus strong demand for dwellings in major metropolitan areas comes as the official cash rate remains at a record low of 2.5%, and as the major banks lower their fixed rate home loans in an attempt to entire more people to borrow more."

This article applies more to the Sydney and Melbourne markets than Brisbane.  It is important to look at individual markets, and not take southern trends and blindly apply them to Brisbane.

Sunday, May 4, 2014

Two Tier Property Market in Brisbane?

Is there are two tier market in Brisbane for apartments?  Are Brisbane owners, investors and renters looking for one kind of apartment, but developers are building another kind of apartment for foreign investors?  Some commentators have said that there will be an oversupply of apartments in Brisbane. For a certain kind of apartment, that may be correct.  But for what Brisbanites want, there may be an undersupply.

Take Bowen Hills for example.  It is close to the city, but has very few local amenities.  It was a light industrial area, and with highways cutting through it.  It is not inner city, and too far to walk to downtown or the Valley.  There are no parks or restaurants or river views.  There are number of large apartment buildings being constructed in that area, with small one and two bed apartments.  A lot of the sales and marketing is targeted at foreign investors, particularly the Chinese.  But do locals want to live in these apartments?  They are very small, and the buildings are very dense.  There are very few owner occupiers in these buildings.

Some examples are Madison Heights (286 apartments) and Chelsea (195 apartments).  It appears that it is taking a long time to rent out or re-rent the apartments in these buildings.  Rents are being reduced, for example, to $485 for a two bedroom apartment.  I suspect that the rental market is saying that, for the location and facilities, you can do much better elsewhere, so the apartments are renting only if rents are very competitive.



On the other hand, river front apartments in Brisbane city, apartments in New Farm, and "normal" residential locations such as Indooroopilly (where very few new apartments have been added to the market in the past five years), appear to be selling well and renting quickly.  These apartments are often much larger (130 sqm compared to 75 sqm for a 2 bedroom apartment, for example), have a better location, have more owner occupiers, and there is not an oversupply.

I also wonder what rents and returns the investors in the new apartment buildings have been promised, and what they are actually receiving, and for how long the apartment sits empty not generating rent?

Will the rents hold up when it comes renewal time in six months or a year?  Will tenants stay on or move out?  The Chelsea is an example of a building that appears to have a number of apartments for rent; it completed in 2012, and received bad press at the time.  (An advertisement below from last year for Urban Edge at Kelvin Grove, settled last year, where apartments will be coming up for renewal about now.  Kelvin Grove is a much better location than Bowen Hills in my view.)


Friday, May 2, 2014

Likely increased investor activity in Brisbane predicted

From RP Data Press Release:  "Gross rental yields on a typical Melbourne house are sitting at 3.3 per cent and Sydney gross yields are a bit higher at 3.7 per cent. According to Mr Lawless, such a scenario of low yields in these two cities suggests that housing values have moved out of step with rental rates which is likely to dampen some of the investor exuberance we have seen in both of these markets. I wouldn’t be surprised if Brisbane, where home values are much more affordable and rental yields are comparatively healthy, will start to see an increase in investor related demand based on Brisbane’s early stage in the growth cycle and comparatively healthy rental yields,” he said."

Friday, January 31, 2014

Vacancy Rate Increases for inner Brisbane


As the Queensland sales market kicks into gear, pressure on the rental market has eased according to the Real Estate Institute of Queensland (REIQ).

The REIQ Residential Rental Survey, carried out in December across all REIQ accredited agencies, found the majority of the State recording higher vacancy rates compared to the previous three months.  REIQ chairman Rob Honeycombe said that it was usual for one market to thrive more than the other.

“Over the past few years, it has been the rental sector which has been the better-performing segment of the market,” he said.  “Now while the sales market returns to healthy levels of activity after a period of subdued volumes, the rental market is experiencing a slight easing of vacancy rates after a long period of tight rental conditions. The rental market is also cyclical with January and February being the peak periods for demand.  While rental markets within the mining regions are struggling with both supply and demand imbalances, the outlook for the rest of the Queensland rental market remains positive as business returns to normal now the Christmas holidays have passed.”  

According to the survey data, over one third of REIQ member agencies reported an increase in investor activity which subsequently added stock to the rental pool.  In addition to this, the end of the year is historically a period of lower tenant demand with many vacating over the Christmas and New Year periods, usually in a move to another area for either work or educational reasons.  Over recent weeks, however, there has been an increase in enquiry and demand from tenants as is usual for January.

In the Brisbane City local government area, the vacancy rate as at the end of December was 3.2 per cent, up from 2.3 per cent at the end of September. A vacancy rate of around 3 per cent however is deemed to represent healthy levels of supply and demand.

Across Brisbane the results are varied. Inner Brisbane - suburbs within 5km of the CBD - recorded the highest increase, up 1.7 percentage points to 4.1 per cent.

“Local agents have reported a slight oversupply of rental properties with a number of new developments coming onto the market,” Mr Honeycombe said.  “Also at the end of the year we generally experience lower tenant demand as residents vacate for work transfers or the end of the university year. From mid-January, demand increases again as tenants begin their search for their new property.”  

Friday, August 9, 2013

Buyers Retuning to the Market?

Real estate agents are reporting that buyers are coming back to the market in Brisbane, and that prices achieved are increasing.  For example, two bedroom apartments in higher quality city apartments that, at the height of the boom achieved above $800,000, and then dropped to the mid $600,000 range, are now selling in the $700,000 plus range, and sometimes more.  This includes a two bedroom apartment in Quay West, sold for about $700,000; a two bedroom in Admiralty Towers Two sold above $750,000 and a two bedroom in Saville at Southbank for more than $800,000.  In fact, another two bedroom at Saville is now listed for sale in the $900,000 range.

Investors appear to be returning to the market, due to lower interest rates.  Owner-occuppiers are looking for larger apartments, and there are not many high quality larger apartments available for sale (partly because developers have been focusing on building very small apartments that have been sold to foreign investors).  With interest rates low, many investors who currently own property are not selling, because these properties are now becoming positively geared -- why sell, unless the price offered is high?  There is a shortage of apartments for sale for owner-occuppiers; and a shortage of existing apartments (compared with off-the-plan apartments) for investors.

Towers like Infinity, aimed at Chinese investors, do not provide what local Brisbane buyers want in my view.

Photo of Infinity, under construction on the right.  Evolution Apartments is the smaller building in the middle of the photo.  The Supreme Court building is on the right in the foreground; the Magistrates Court building on the left in the foreground.  400 George St is the taller building on the left.

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Outlook for Property on a Weaker Dollar

The AFR had a story on Wednesday titled "Outlook for property on a weaker dollar."

An abstract from ABIX is as follows:

"While it is pointless trying to accurately forecast the future changes in the Australian dollar's value after a decline of about a tenth during the six months to July 2013, it is worth considering the effects this has on real estate investors. Those with existing overseas assets are seeing a boost to the income streams, while those only now starting to allocate funds to the segment will have to pay more. Foreign investors looking to buy off-the-plan properties in Australia, the only option available to them, will find this easier to finance and demand should increase. However these investors account for only 3% of the market. Meanwhile local real estate buyers may feel the impact of inflation, but in general the fallout from the foreign exchange rate fluctuations will be moderate."

Some quotes from the article:

"A lower Australian dollar may increase the attraction of Australian property to overseas investors - particularly new or off-the-plan property, given that FIRB rules exclude non-residents from buying established property."

"The reality is that inward investment flows into Australian residential property are modest, and represent a very small proportion of the total market.   According to FITB, in 2011-12, around $15.5billion was invested in off-the-plan developments, either by overseas buyers or by development companies marketing to overseas buyers.  Compare this to the $500 billion in mortgage financing for property purchases recorded by the ABS in the year to November 2012 -- overseas buyers represent just 3% of the residential property market.   The most significant issue for property investors emanating from a weaker dollar is the potential flow-on for inflation and mortgage rates.

"Unless there is a precipitous decline in the Australian dollar, there is little to worry local property investors.  But large declines do happen from time to time."

Friday, June 14, 2013

Risks of Investing in Mining Towns

An article from the AFR on Thursday, 13 June 2013 is a good reminder why investing in boom towns is more like gambling than investing:

Boom town burns investors:  John Briggs of Port Hedland Real Estate predicts tough times ahead. 'Sales are few and far between.  Anybody who invested in the last 18 months is in for a torrid time.'  A banking source said lenders require potential buyers to have about 50% equity to buy into the former mining hot spot.  'Anyone looking to buy into towns like Port Hedland is buying at the wrong end of the market cycle,' said Gavin Hegney, a valuer.

Saturday, May 18, 2013

Investors Returning to the Market?

"With lower interest rates and home value growth remaining moderate we would expect that the basis point spread between official interest rates and gross rental yields on houses to increase further over the coming months which would subsequently make investing in housing potentially even more attractive for those investors focussed on yield."

See Why Are Investors Returning to the Housing Market?

Friday, January 11, 2013

Investing in Brisbane Apartment

The 2nd edition of "Investing in Brisbane Apartments" is now available in the iTunes iBook store, and can be downloaded for iPads, iPods and iPhones.  Look here.

Friday, January 4, 2013

New Edition of Kindle Book

A new edition of the popular Kindle Book Investing in Brisbane Apartments - A Guide for Successful Investing (2nd Edition) has just been published.  This second edition has been updated and revised.  This book is helpful if you are considering buying an apartment in Brisbane as an investment or to live in.  If you don't have a Kindle, then get a free Kindle App or buy a Kindle: Kindle, 6" E Ink Display, Wi-Fi - for international shipment.  Also available in iTune store.


Friday, October 19, 2012

Low Vacancy Rate in Brisbane

Residential rental vacancy rates have remained tight across Queensland, according to the latest REIQ data.  Findings from the Institute’s September Residential Rental Vacancy Rate Survey, compiled from information and data by REIQ accredited real estate agencies, showed most major regions posting vacancy rates of 2.5 per cent or less in September.

According to REIQ, a vacancy rate of three per cent is considered to be the equilibrium point of supply and demand.

REIQ CEO Anton Kardash said vacancy rates were continuing to trend into undersupply territory as investor activity slowly swings back into life. 

"The rental market across Queensland has been constricted for more than two years now,’’ Mr Kardash said.  "The reasons for this have been the low numbers of investors in the marketplace as well as the generally slow property sales market over the period.  With the reduction in the numbers of properties being added to the rental pool, we are seeing more demand for a much smaller supply of properties."

The survey found the vacancy rate for Brisbane at the end of September was 1.7 per cent - down from 2.1 per cent three months before.  Inner Brisbane’s vacancy rate was 1.5 per cent – down from 1.6 per cent. Property managers from REIQ accredited agencies said that market activity was slower over the period as was the case historically. Interest was also highest for new properties.


Saturday, October 13, 2012

Smaller May Have Big Future

The headline in a story today in the Courier Mail property advertorial section:  "Smaller may have big future".  Some points made in this article:
  • Buyer demand for new apartments in Brisbane is for smaller apartments
  • Owner-occupiers prefer larger apartments
  • But in the current market, most of the new apartment buyers are investors (about 85% of buyers) and investors are very price sensitive at present.
  • "With no desire to live in the property they are buying, they are purely looking at the return, and the best returns can currently be found in one-bedroom apartments."
  • In the current market, one bedroom apartments range from 45 sqm to 52 sqm and are priced from $345,000 to $425,000.
  • "The ideal mix [for a new development] is 70% one bedroom apartments and 30% two bedroom apartment."
My strategy is never to buy an apartment that I would not live in myself.  I would not live in an apartment that was less than 70 sqm.  When owner occupiers decide to buy, there will be a shortage of larger two bedroom and three bedroom apartments in Brisbane.

In another article today, Matusik says that Brisbane's CBD has 24% few apartments on the market compared with this time last year.

Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Brisbane Apartments Prices to Fall

"The Brisbane inner-city apartment market is heading into a downswing due to the large numbers of off-the-plan projects currently being marketed in the Brisbane CBD and surrounding suburbs, according to property investment adviser Michael Yardney.

Yardney, the director of Metropole Property Investment Strategists, places the Brisbane unit market at two o'clock on the property clock – 12 o’clock indicates the property market has peaked while 3pm indicates the market is in a downswing.

Yardney expects there to be an oversupply of inner-CBD and near-CBD apartments in Brisbane for the next few years, causing prices to fall slightly.

Most recent data put out by the Real Estate Institute of Queensland has unit and townhouse prices in Brisbane up 3.8% over the June quarter to a median of $402,500 – but down 1.5% year-on-year.

Yardney says many of the Brisbane projects being currently marketed will remain unsold and this oversupply of properties will put downward pressure on prices and rentals.

“Many of the apartments that have been sold off the plan are coming on stream in the next few years and have been purchased by investors.  Some will have difficulty getting finance and settling their purchase. Others will be disappointed to see the end value of their properties is less than their purchase price,” he says.

Yardney assesses the Brisbane detached house market to be between four o’clock and five o’clock – still in a downturn but on the way to bottoming out.

“House prices have dropped for the last two years in Brisbane.  Brisbane buyers are lacking confidence to re-enter the market and are sitting on the sidelines waiting for signs that the market has bottomed before they make a purchase. Many were waiting for the resources boom to reignite their property market, but recent negative media has again dampened confidence,” says Yardney.

According to Yardney there are signs that the inner and middle-ring Brisbane home market is picking up, with more buyers returning and many properties now selling under a multi-offer scenario.

“Brisbane is entering the stabilisation phase of its property cycle, but prices are unlikely to start rising until 2013.”

Full Story on Property Observer

Monday, August 20, 2012

Why Investors Favour Apartments

"Nationally, 58% of flats, units and apartments are owned by investors. That is quite an amazing statistic, especially when you compare that detached houses only 21% are investor-owned."
See Tim Lawless article.

Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Too Many Rentals Available?

"Investors returning to the property market - and, at times, frustrated vendors unable to sell - have pushed the number of properties advertised for rent to 7057, up from 5732 in July 2011, the latest figures from RP Data reveal. New rental listings are also up, with 3403 new listings compared with 2619 new listings for the same time last year." See Courier Mail

Saturday, July 21, 2012

Suburbs With Most Rental Properties

Brisbane Suburbs With Highest Proportion of Rental Properties:
  1. Bowen Hills
  2. The Valley
  3. Spring Hill
  4. South Brisbane
  5. Milton
  6. Kelvin Grove
  7. Kangaroo Point 
  8. West End.
See detailed chart here and article from RP Data.

Friday, June 1, 2012

Brisbane Apartment at Bottom?

Valuers HTW say in their recent report that the Brisbane apartment market has bottomed out.  They also say this about residential property in Brisbane:
"The reality on the ground is this – most agents are stating with certainty that there has been an improvements in the number of buyers under $500,000 with the vast majority being investors. Most agents who speak openly and honestly will tell you that this is a good sign but let’s not start popping the corks just yet. We would also say that many who have made the positive the call on the sub half million property turnaround will just as quickly remind you that over $500,000 property is still a ghost town."
HTW June 2012 Month in Review

Friday, April 13, 2012

Brisbane Not Yet At Bottom


For Apartments:
The Brisbane apartment market fared worse than the house market in the last six months of 2011 and faces an oversupply of this type of property.  REIQ figures for the December quarter 2011 show that rental vacancies in inner Brisbane – where most of the stock is apartments – increased from 1.4% in the September 2011 quarter to 1.9% in the December 2011 quarter while the overall city vacancy rate remained unchanged at 2.3%  

In addition, valuation firm LandMark White is warning that a combination of too many projects and historically low demand could result in an oversupply of new apartments in inner-city Brisbane suburbs like Fortitude Valley and Bowen Hills.

The firm’s property valuers believe affordable “entry-level” apartments within five kilometres of the CBD will continue to appreciate in value but expect values in prestige units in new complexes to continue to fall.
“We have seen demand for prestige units decline again, with extended marketing periods or heavy price reductions,” says WBP.

On the other hand, “entry-level units are being purchased by single professionals who require affordable housing and access to the Brisbane CBD. We have recently seen volumes of sub-$400,000 unit sales increase.”

Michael Yardney is very bearish about Brisbane units, placing the market in the relatively early stages of a property downturn at three o’clock.

“There are a large number of off-the-plan apartments available in the Brisbane CBD and surrounding suburbs. Many of these remain unsold, and this oversupply of properties will put downward pressure on prices and rentals,” he says.  “Many of the apartments that have been sold off the plan are coming on stream in the next few years and have been purchased by investors.  Some will have difficulty getting finance and settling their purchase. Others will be disappointed to see the end value of their properties is less than their purchase price,” Yardney says.

“There will be an oversupply of inner-CBD and near-CBD apartments in Brisbane for a few years, causing prices to fall slightly.”


For houses:
As the house price growth figures from RP Data show, Brisbane’s housing market continues to fall.
House prices were flat over the final quarter of 2011, according to figures compiled the Real Estate Institute of Queensland, which says that one year on from the floods, the housing market is showing signs of stabilising.

Michael Yardney, Louis Christopher and Charles Tarbey all believe Brisbane has some way to go before it bottoms out.

“House prices in Brisbane have dropped for the last two years. Brisbane buyers are lacking confidence to re-enter the market and are sitting on the sidelines waiting for signs that the market has bottomed before they make a purchase,” says Yardney.  “This may occur later this year as Brisbane prices stabilise. Prices are unlikely to start rising until the second half of this year or 2013.”