If you are using a room-mate service, such as EasyRoomMate and StudentFlatmates.com.au, take care. There are a few issues.
Friday, February 12, 2010
Finding a Roommate - take care!
Soleil Update February 2010
From an email from the Meriton sales agent:
Soleil is the fastest selling development in Brisbane and is set to become the most impressive building in the Brisbane CBD,
offering affordable luxury apartments while maximising outstanding views at every turn.
Soleil has a selection of Studio, 1, 2 & 3 bedroom apartments
available for sale. UNBELIEVABLE VALUE, VERY
HIGH RENTAL RETURNS AND A MAGNIFICENT 74 STORY TOWER IN THE HEART OF BRISBANE CBD
One bedroom apartments priced from $334,000
Two bedroom, two bathroom apartments and parking priced from $545,000
Two bed & study apartments with parking priced from $618,000 level 50
Three bedroom apartments with parking priced from $760,000 (level 41)
Three bedroom apartments with double parking priced from $931,000
All apartments include floor to ceiling glass, blinds, light fittings, air conditioning,
Stainless Steel European kitchen appliances including a cook top, dishwasher, electric oven
and a range hood. The Estimated completion date: mid to the end of 2011, depending on the level of the apartment.
Slumburbia in the USA
"After several days in foreclosure alley, this broad swath of the Central Valley that has been rated by some economists as the most stressed region during the Great Recession, I can’t see such apocalyptic forecasts coming true. Yes, huge developments are empty, with rising crime at the edges, and thousands of homes owned by banks that can’t unload them even at fire-sale prices. But through it all, the country churns and expands, unlike most other Western democracies. That great American natural resource — tomorrow — will have to save the suburban slums."
Saturday, February 6, 2010
Roma Street Parklands Auction Result
Wednesday, February 3, 2010
Chinese Big Buyers In Soleil
"... let me start this week with four facts about what is happening in the Australian dwelling market that may surprise you.
First, if metals prices keep falling and take the Australian dollar down further (as is widely predicted) some segments of the Australian residential market may actually benefit.
Second, one of the fastest growth markets for apartments is those without garages. There is very little street parking available so many residents are now living without a car – this is a significant change in traditional Australian living.
Third, living intensity is increasing as apartment dwellers are not only seeking apartments without garages but are also seeking a design that will allow them to rent one of the rooms to another party.
Finally, one of our big banks has suddenly decided to fund buyers of middle- or lower-priced Sydney apartments – a market all major banks have shunned for years.
Late last week, the biggest Australian apartment owner and builder Harry Triguboff and I had a conversation about the major changes happening in his Meriton apartment business. The Chinese are currently buying about half of all his apartments because they are much cheaper than equivalent apartments in major Chinese cities. And if the Australian dollar falls, dwellings will be even cheaper for the Chinese.
The Chinese are buying up big in Brisbane, but not in Surfers Paradise, partly explaining the sudden weakness of the Surfers market. Others tell me the Chinese are also very active in buying Melbourne residential property.
The Chinese sometimes buy apartments for their student children or for themselves to live in, but usually they remain landlords and rent the properties out. Most of the focus of Chinese investment in Australia is on the spectacular multi-billion dollar corporate moves which obscure what is happening at the grass roots level. ... "
Jingle Mail in the USA
"It was April 2006, a moment when the perpetual rise of real estate was considered practically a law of physics. Mr. Koellmann was 23, a management consultant new to Miami. Financially cautious by nature, he bought a small, plain one-bedroom apartment for $215,000, much less than his agent told him he could afford. He put down 20 percent and received a fixed-rate loan from Countrywide Financial.
Not quite four years later, apartments in the building are selling in foreclosure for $90,000.
“There is no financial sense in staying,” Mr. Koellmann said. With the $1,500 he is paying each month for his mortgage, taxes and insurance, he could rent a nicer place on the beach, one with a gym, security and valet parking."
Source: NYTimes
Sunday, January 31, 2010
Auction Results
W4
Saturday, January 30, 2010
Timing the Market - Letter to the Editor
The Milton
Friday, January 29, 2010
RP Data - Rismark December 2009 report
Units outperform houses
2009 saw Australian unit values increase by 13.5 per cent compared with house values up 10.4 per cent. The trend was the consistent across every capital city, with units returning a strong gain over the year.
According to Mr Lawless, “The higher gains in the unit market are a deviation from normal performances. Historically houses have tended to outperform units. The recent reversal in fortunes has occurred due to more buyers leaning towards units because they have a more affordable price tag and are often located in more strategic locations in relation to transport and amenity than many detached housing options. Other factors may also include changing housing preferences, particularly amongst baby boomers, and more highly targeted unit developments being delivered to the market.”Brisbane The Brisbane market remained comparatively subdued during 2009 with values increasing by 7.3 per cent over the year. The comparatively weak performance can partly be attributed to the strong gains recorded in 2007 where Brisbane values gained 24.6 per cent over the year. Gross rental yields in Brisbane remain above the national average with houses returning 4.4 per cent and units returning 5.0 per cent. 2010 is likely to see Brisbane outperform the national average due to the fact it is in a later stage of the cycle, together with ongoing strong population growth and the benefit of several major infrastructure projects coming to fruition. The median house price in Brisbane is now $463,000 and the median unit price $383,600
See RP Data Report
"December research undertaken by RP Data and Rismark International showed Brisbane property values rose by 7.3 per cent in 2009, well below the national average of 11.5 per cent.
This confirmed the findings of the Australian Property Monitors House Price Report, released earlier this week,which RP Data disputed at the time.
RP Data research director Tim Lawless said better performing capitals in 2009 included Darwin (16.6 per cent), Melbourne (15.6 per cent), Canberra (14.7 per cent), Hobart (12.4 per cent) and Sydney (11.4 per cent).
But Mr Lawless said he expected 2010 to be a very different story for the Sunshine State capital.
"In Brisbane, we have vacancy rates of around three per cent, very strong population growth and not a great deal of new housing being released. So that's the dynamic that's pushing prices upwards," he said.
Gold Coast - Colliers Newsletter
"Sellers who have been holding on for the last 2 years, not needing to sell, are now making the decision to sell.
There is good buyer interest however some are still looking to find the bargains, which are almost gone from the market as the competition from buyers increases.
Recent auction results confirm buyers are active in the market, but their offers are sometimes falling short of the owners expectations. The real test for the properties that have passed in at auction is to see if they sell within the next 2 weeks. These sales will occur because buyers realise that they need to pay a little more than their first offer to secure the property or sellers realise the market will only support a certain price level."
This sounds to me like prices are going down.
Median Prices Can Be Misleading
“In the first quarter of 2009, some median index providers reported misleading results, claiming that house prices were falling when in fact they were rising rapidly. The medians were being dragged down by a surge in first time buyers purchasing cheap homes in the first three months of 2009. The RP Data-Rismark Hedonic Indices, in contrast, reported strong growth of circa 3 per cent in the first quarter in 2009.
“Since the first quarter, the RP Data-Rismark Hedonic Index has shown stable growth. In comparison, the median price indices are being artificially boosted by the fading of first time buyers and the return of upgraders buying more expensive homes, which drag the medians upwards. At the current time, the true rates of capital gains across Australia are likely to be substantially less than those reported by median price suppliers.”
Inner City Rents
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Ice Cream Lickers Are Back
"THEY are usually like a thorn in the flesh of real estate agents but this summer the "ice-cream lickers" are responsible for the early stages of a recovery in the holiday home market.
Real estate agents describe holidaymakers who inspect properties after looking at the advertisements in the windows of real estate agencies, yet rarely follow through with a purchase, as "ice-cream lickers".
Agents are reporting that it is these interested parties who are snapping up the bargain-priced homes in beach locations along the east coast. ...
Exclusive destinations such as Palm Beach, in Sydney's north, and Noosa, north of Brisbane, had also reported more interest.
Real estate agent Marcus Bengtsson at Tom Offermann Real Estate in Noosa said there were "absolutely" more inquiries this year compared with last year. "People come up here and fall in love with it," he said.
"It might be on their first visit or the second (that they decide to buy a property). They look at the local property magazines while lying by the pool."
Joe Buchanan of Firstlight International -- the offshoot of private equity player Blue Sky Capital -- said he now had 30 names on a reserve list for those wishing to acquire a share of the company's yet-to-be-developed luxury beachfront apartments on Noosa's Hastings Street.
Up to eight of the 20 units will be priced between $12m and $16m for individual ownership, while the remainder will be co-owned. "Over the Christmas holiday period, we have maybe had eight to 10 inquiries," he said.
While property prices in some holiday destinations have recently staged a recovery, they have fallen in price by about 10 per cent since the start of the global financial crisis, defying the trend of a stronger housing recovery in state capitals.
APM economist Matthew Bell said that in Queensland and NSW during December, prices were still not back to the levels they were during the boom more than two years ago, despite rising between 1 and 3.5 percentage points during the past six months.
Hotel and resorts analyst Dean Dransfield of Dransfield Hotels & Resorts said securing sales from holidaymakers could be challenging. "You have to call in bankers (and such people) and that type of work people don't want to do on holiday," Mr Dransfield said." Source: The Australian
Low Clearance Rate a Mega Auction on Gold Coast
137 properties were originally listed for sale at the large Ray White Gold Coast auction held on Sunday. 65 sold prior to or on auction day. That is a 47% clearance rate after at least a 4 week campaign. Not very good. And it seems that pricing achieved was not great, despite the big lead up publicity. In my view, auctioning non-unique apartments is not a smart tactic. Two apartments in Circle on Cavill sold for less than $400,000 each, furnished.
"But not everyone was optimistic about the property market, with two vendors at the auction, who wished to remain anonymous, claiming they fell short by about $130,000 over three Surfers Paradise units they had to sell due to family circumstances.
"I don't think the confidence is in the market," said the vendor."
A West End Love Story, in Brisbane
There is a very fancy website for Montague at West End. It is located behind Stockland's Koko.
Sunday, January 24, 2010
Charlotte Towers and Vision
Mortages and United States Residential Property
Related
Weekend Business: Richard Thaler on strategic defaults and home foreclosures.
After all, millions of American homeowners are “underwater,” meaning that they owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth. In Nevada, nearly two-thirds of homeowners are in this category. Yet most of them are dutifully continuing to pay their mortgages, despite substantial financial incentives for walking away from them."
Saturday, January 23, 2010
Will Brisbane Apartment Prices Rise or Fall in 2010?
I do not know! The messages are mixed at present. My predication is that some buildings will have average price growth, while other buildings (e.g., those with a large number and % of investor apartments -- e.g. Aurora and Charlotte Towers -- or those that were aggressively sold off the plan during the boom -- e.g. Evolution) will have no price growth or price decreases.
- increased migration to Brisbane
- mining sector likely to remain strong
- few large new apartment buildings being completed in the next 18 months
- net returns of 5% or better for some apartments
- likely interest rate increases in 2010
- rents unlikely to increase significantly in 2010, and may even decrease for some buildings/areas
- lack of first home buyers, many of whom purchase apartments
- investors only purchasing when the price is right or the seller is desperate
- difficulties for investors getting loans
- banks are requiring a higher % of down payment, so investors have less to spend
- valuations are more conservative, making it harder for investors to obtain highly geared loans
- difficulties redrawing against existing loans to invest, because property prices have not increased significantly in recent times
- foreign students loosing interest in Brisbane or Australia -- as they make up a significant percentage of renters
- wages stagnate -- affordability (% of wages spent on property) already stretched, so unless wages increase, it is unlikely that property prices will increase significantly
- council rates increasing
- body corporate levies are already high (over $6,000 a year in some buildings), and may increase more this year
- federal government limiting or removing ability to negatively gear or claim depreciation
- unemployment increases
Quattro - "New" Spring Hill Apartment Building
Apartments in a new apartment building are currently being marketed, with the official launch next weekend.
Rents in 2010
- 2009 weak year for rent growth
- Still down in 2010
- But will rise within months
RENTS across Australia stagnated and in some cases even fell in the December quarter, but are expected to rise later this year.
A report to be released by Australian Property Monitors today says last year was the weakest for national rental growth since 2002.
While APM flags a strong lift in rents is likely this year, property managers and landlords reported that the market had remained soft so far this month, which is typically the busiest month for the rental market.
Chris Rolls, managing director of the Gold Coast and Brisbane residential property manager Rental Express, said: "We have found this is the slowest start to the year for the last five years."
Mr Rolls, who owns a four-bedroom rental property in Brisbane suburb Kelvin Grove, said the contract for the property came up for renewal in 10 days and he had opted to keep the rent at $520 a week in the hope that the current tenants would not leave.
"The risk is that if you increase the rent, and they don't pay it and instead move out, I won't get the same rent. It was top rent 12 months ago," Mr Rolls said.
Harcourts New Farm owner and property manager Kylie Pridham agreed the tenant's reprieve - brought about by the global financial crisis - would not last long, with vacancy rates in Brisbane to remain about three per cent.
"We have had to reduce [the rent] on some properties by $50 a week, but that won't last," Ms Pridham told theAustralian Financial Review.
"As soon as the lease finishes in six months time those rents will be back up."
Source: Brisbane Times
Interest in the sale may be strong but the general property outlook for the year is a little more sobering, according to property analyst Michael Matusik. Mr Matusik warned that property was likely to be oversupplied this year. He cited factors including a shrinking average household size, less impact than expected from overseas migration and lots of empty houses around the country.
Mr Matusik said that after decades of overconsuming property, the past year had seen a more frugal mindset which could continue.
And he said the rental market was not as tight as some commentators claimed. Rental analyst Louis Christopher of SQM research said claims of an imminent increase in rents were optimistic.
"There is no evidence to suggest we will see significant increases in rents," Mr Christopher said. "Despite recent aggressive forecasts, increases of between 3-5 per cent in most areas are more likely, depending on what you are renting and where," he said.
His calculations put Brisbane's vacancy rate at 3.4 per cent last month, with 8603 homes available for rent. This is up nearly half a per cent from the previous month.
Source: Courier Mail
Sunday, January 17, 2010
South Bank Student Accommodation
Infinity
Rents and Medium Prices - Comment from Matusik
Are more high rise apartments needed in Brisbane?
Brisbane will need an apartment building boom on the scale of Dubai if it is to accommodate a forecasted growth in population by 2030, the State Opposition claims. However, he estimated as many as 1725 20-storey buildings would need to be built before 2031 in order to cope.
"It is areas like Indooroopilly, Chermside, Mt Gravatt that are designated to do it," he said.
The plan also nominates the Brisbane CBD, Carindale, Toombul, Mitchelton, Wynnum Central and Toowong. Mr Gibson said the difficulty was finding the land in these areas to build thousands more apartments.
"You go through street by street and you identify where you can build 82 new 20-storey building every year for the next 21 years and the land is not there right now," he said.
Vision Brisbane Finally in Administration
Proposed Milton Development on Milton Road
More than 10 years after it was closed down and sold by Tennis Queensland, the Milton Tennis Centre, together with the adjoining Milton Bowls site, has a development application on it to create a new "Emporium" style precinct, with residential, retail and commercial facilities.
The Seymour Group, owned by Queensland business identity Kevin Seymour, put in their application to the Brisbane City Council just before Christmas and although it is "extremely early days", the group are very excited about their plans for this famous parcel of land, according to a company spokesperson.
"The Milton Tennis Centre site is iconic in Brisbane and it has been vacant for so long. We’ve written into the code that we’ve submitted to council that there will certainly be a reference to the original centre somewhere in the new development," the spokesperson said.
Located at Frew Park, Milton Rd was the home of Queensland tennis from 1915. It consisted of 19 hard courts and four grass courts and hosted eight Australian Opens and 16 Davis Cup ties (including three finals). It hosted its last Davis Cup tie in 1990, the quarterfinal win over New Zealand featuring John Fitzgerald and Wally Masur.
Lindsay Davenport won the last world tour event at Milton in 1994, after which the wooden grandstands were declared unsafe. The Milton Tennis Centre closed in 1999 when Tennis Queensland sold the property to cover more than $1 million in debts. Doncaster Holdings sold the site to Multiplex for a reported $5.9 million in April 2002. Derelict and having suffered two fires, the stadium was demolished in May 2002. It has sat deserted and derelict since then.
It is understood the Seymour Group paid a total of $30.15 million for the tennis and the bowls sites in 2008. It currently has approval for 174 residential apartments but the Seymour Group wants to create a whole new precinct for both plots of the land, which total about 3.2 hectares.
"We’re thinking it would be a modern version of the Emporium in the Valley," the spokeswoman said.