Sunday, September 26, 2010
How To Lose Money in Property Investing
Sunday, September 19, 2010
The Milton at Milton

FKP has opened its sales office for "The Milton", a new apartment building that FKP plans to build next to the railway line at Milton Station.
- FKP's recent developments in Brisbane have not been great. Vue at Milton was did not turn out to be great, and many of the apartments there are still selling below the original sales price. The Albion Mill project never started. I considered the SL8 development at West End to be a disappointment.
- The Milton is being built on a railway.
- The Milton is located close to the XXXX brewery, and so residents will be impacted by smell, fumes and fallout from the brewery.
- Despite the nice brochures from FKP, The Milton is located a fair distance from the river. It is not river front, and will only have distant river views. There is the strong possibility that other towers will be built between this development and the river. In my opinion, the artist's impressions being distributed by FKP are somewhat misleading.
- There is the risk that the apartments on each end will be built out if similar apartment buildings are constructed on the neighbouring land. The Milton is not on a corner block, and this is a risk.
- The building does not have central airconditioning. The hallways are unlikely to be airconditioned. Not all rooms in your apartment will have an airconditioning output head. So FKP selected the low quality option here.

Sunday, September 5, 2010
Dishonest Real Estate Agents
Meriton's Infinity Pricing
I received this from a Sydney investor, who was asked to invest in Infinity, on Herschel Street in Brisbane:
- 1 bedroom with study with city views from: $398,000
- 1 bedroom with study with river views from: $448,000
- 2 bedroom with city views from: $525,000
- 2 bedroom with river views from: $560,000
Saturday, September 4, 2010
Month In Review
"Importantly, do not read ‘relatively affordable’ as ‘secondary quality’. It is better to stretch the dollar a bit and buy a dodgy looking second had unit with good bones and quiet position in an area such as Ascot or Toowong, rather than a brand newie in the same areas that is the size of a bathtub and has full exposure to rail noise. The good thing with these units is that they always have a strong rental demand and some value-add potential if you get something that needs a little love.
... there are some areas that you should steer clear of.
The first that comes to mind is on the Redcliffe Peninsula and specifically high rise unit developments. A favourable council hell bent on turning the area into something beyond a sleepy seaside habitat went gung ho with developers to create a mini Surfers Paradise along the esplanade. The result was a number of multi-level unit projects designed to take advantage of the views and the natural attributes that usually have investors salivating. Unfortunately the suitors became a little too enamored and far too many projects came out of the ground, with many units snapped up by out of town buyers for prices well beyond the average local punters cashbook. The result - there is now a glut of these attached dwellings throughout the area. Some initial buyers have lost large money and given the abundant supply on the market and the near zero demand from well informed local buyers, the prospects of growth appear somewhat limited for some time at least.
Gold Coast
Overall market sentiment has remained very slow/ subdued over the winter months, with minimal market activity and some less than impressive sale results. Therehas been a significant drop off in the number of sales and selling prices, and fingers are crossed that demand will increase as the election is out of the way and the weather warms up."
The report then lists recent sales where the vendor has lost money.
The report also states that the Brisbane apartment market is "peak of market" and that the Gold Coast apartment market is "declining" but that the Sunshine Coast unit market is at the bottom of the market. This would suggest that it is best to buy on the Sunshine Coast, than in Brisbane or the Gold Coast.
Landmark case sends a warning to investors
"Know how you should and shouldn't market your apartment, particularly when the onsite complex manager owns the building trademark."
Thursday, September 2, 2010
RP Data August 2010 Index
After a large 1.0% seasonally-adjusted fall in June, Australian home values changed little in the month of July, recording an increase of +0.1% (up +0.4% seasonally-adjusted).
According to the market-leading RP Data–Rismark Hedonic Home Value Index, Australia’s capital city home values remained relatively flat in the month of July recording a modest, seasonally-adjusted increase of 0.4% (on a raw basis home values were up only +0.1% in the month).
The July results follow a 1.0% seasonally-adjusted decline in the month of June; the first negative movement in Australian capital city home values in 17 months.
The slow-down in Australia’s housing market had been long-anticipated by RP Data and Rismark and was noted by the Reserve Bank of Australia in its most recent Board Minutes.
According to RP Data’s research director, Tim Lawless, the July index results are further evidence that Australia’s housing market has experienced a controlled soft-landing after a resounding recovery during the course of 2009.
“In the period between end 2008 and March 2010, Australian home values rose by 16.3%. Yet monthly growth rates have declined consistently since the start of the year. RP Data and Rismark expect to see the market track sideways over the second half of the year. There is the possibility of modest gains if mortgage rates remain in check and economic conditions continue to improve,” he said.
The deceleration in capital growth rates is evident across the cheaper, middle and more expensive suburbs tracked by the ‘stratified’ version of the RP Data-Rismark Hedonic Index. This index shows that while the most expensive 20% of suburbs realised the highest capital growth between end 2008 and March 2010, these same suburbs have suffered the largest falls in home values in the period since.
According to Mr Lawless, “As has been the case previously, the illiquid top-end of the market is showing higher volatility than lower priced markets. Home values in Australia’s most expensive suburbs fell more in 2008, rebounded quickly in 2009, and are now tapering at a more rapid rate than cheaper property markets. Home values in the most expensive 20% of suburbs were down 2.0% over the three months ending July 2010 compared with smaller declines of 0.4% and 0.7% in the cheapest 20% and middle 60% of the suburbs, respectively.”
Christopher Joye, Managing Director of Rismark International, said, “In contrast to claims that the decline in home values recorded in June would accelerate, we have seen quite the opposite: Australia’s housing market appears to have gravitated back to a no-to-very low growth trajectory, as we forecast.”
Mr Joye added, “RP Data’s leading indicator data also paints an encouraging picture. After falling from historically high 70-80% levels, national auction clearance rates have now leveled at around the 60% mark. While outstanding inventory levels have expanded in response to the weaker demand, they have recently settled. Perhaps most significantly, the futures market is currently pricing in no further interest rate hikes over the next 1-2 years. In recognition of the flat yield curve, we have seen some banks cutting the cost of fixed-rate loans.”
“Looking forward, I would expect to see the major banks pushing housing credit growth a little harder as profitability gains--driven by reduced impairment provisions across their business lending books--dissipate. Australian housing credit growth has been running at record low levels, and has experienced a downward trend since 2006. An increase in credit growth back to reasonable single-digit rates will provide further support to the market in the next 12 months.” Mr Joye said.
Mr Lawless agreed that substantial falls in Australian home values look very unlikely.
He said, “The number of homes being advertised for sale across Australia is only 5% higher than what we saw at the same time last year. We aren't seeing a blow out in stock levels and properties are taking on average about 40 days to sell, which is only a little higher than recent experience.
“And while we have noticed an increase in vendor discounting, this is coming off the very low base we recorded during 2009,” he said.
Sunday, August 29, 2010
When will Park Get Into Drive?
REIQ Report
However, the Real Estate Institute of Queensland’s (REIQ) June quarter median house report shows continued tough market conditions with the preliminary number of sales across the state down by about five per cent compared to the previous quarter. Most areas of the state recorded minimal median house price changes over the period."
“Agents have been reporting quieter market conditions since about early April when the string of interest rate increases began to have a negative impact on the market. Uneven economic data is also starting to worry consumers with many buyers currently happy to sit on the fence until a clearer economic picture emerges.”
While sales activity is currently subdued compared to last year, the REIQ June quarter report found property prices in most areas of the state are now on par with what they were two years ago.
“Over the past two years, Queensland’s median house prices have jumped up and down depending on the types of buyers in the market at the time,” REIQ managing director Dan Molloy said.
“Last year, the numbers of first-timers in the market was higher than usual, so correspondingly the median went down given they bought cheaper properties. This year, there has been a return to a more even distribution of first and non-first home buyers in the market so the medians have increased accordingly.
“This change in buyers, and the types of properties selling, has unfortunately given the false impression there has been robust property price growth when prices are now really where they were two years ago.”
Brisbane’s continued population growth has underpinned the capital city’s performance over the past two years with its median house price increasing about 9 per cent to $530,000 for the year ending June 2010.
Thursday, August 26, 2010
Tuesday, August 24, 2010
Ponzi Borrowers
In a bearish note to clients this morning, Morgan Stanley strategist chief strategist Gerard Minack warned Australia's housing "bubble" could be pricked should banks tighten credit or "loss-making" middle-class landlords start to sell.
He argues owner-occupiers are in too much debt and investors are riskily relying on capital gains to repay their loans and interest repayments.
Compounding the problem is "ill-advised policy", such as the government's first home-buyers grant, which has combined to make Australian houses "40 per cent above fair value", Mr Minack says.
"Buying an asset that's over-priced never ends well," he said. "The real return on residential property over the next decade is likely to be negative, in my view."
Off-the-plan disappointments?
- Investment properties to flood market
- Prices set to soften
- Short-term gains unlikely
"PROPERTY investors are targeting off-the-plan apartments hoping for short-term capital gain, with thousands of prospective pre-sale buyers eyeing Sydney projects.
Ray White is reporting a 6 per cent lift in investor buying as shares weaken and with the end last year of the boosted first-home buyer's grant, The Australian reported.
But analyst Michael Matusik predicts investment properties will flood the market in the near term, leading prices to soften.
An Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute report this month said 80 per cent of investors buy for long-term gain, but at least half sell within five years because of cashflow problems or disappointing capital growth. One in four investors sells within 12 months.
Developers in Sydney are reporting strong demand for new residential projects following stamp duty concession by the NSW government this year. ...
Mr Matusik said property prices would not crash, but there would be deflation in values over time.
"In the next decade, we might see very little growth, and if investors keep buying and thinking 'I'm going to make a killing and then move on', they're going to find themselves a little disappointed," he said.
This would be mostly the case in Melbourne, where the market had been strong, he said. In Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide, the trend had already started to occur.
The Australian
Sunday, August 22, 2010
Risks with Off The Plan purchases
- the development not actually starting, as some developers commence selling prior to obtaining development approval from the Council and many developers do not have finance prior to selling
- the development starting late and finishing later than you want (which is not good if you want to move in; but may be good if you are an investor)
- the development finishing earlier than planned (which is not good if you are not ready to move in, or if you are an investor and planned for a later settlement)
- the developer going bankrupt or running into financial difficulties during development, and so cutting corners or having another builder take over
- changes to apartment layout and size, that may be permitted by the contract
- different quality to what you expected
- different views to what you expected
- having no control over the appointment of the onsite manager and caretaker, who could be appointed under a long term contract
- body corporate fees being low for the first year (to attract purchasers) but then increasing dramatically in year two when the body corporate finds out not enough was budgeted
- paying too much for the apartment, especially if the market goes down between contract and completion, or if you are buying something "different" and so can't really determine value when you sign the contract
- not being able to obtain finance when it comes time to settle.
Gold Coast
Macrossan and Soleil growing

A nice photo from Chris Hinds showing Macrossan Residents and Soleil growing, with Skyline to the right, and then Admiralty Quays and Admiralty Towers One.
Goodbye, Glitzy Condo Pitches
Saturday, August 21, 2010
Changes to Lot Entitlements in Queensland
"Now that you are all aware of the Body Corporate and Community Management Amendment Bill 2010 lets spend some time explaining, if passed, what it is going to mean for you.
Open for public consultation until 23rd September 2010 the Bill proposes to outline new concepts and principles for the setting of Contribution Schedule Lot Entitlements (CSLE), along with a provision for lot owners who were disadvantaged by adjustment orders to have the amended CSLE changed back to their original schedule prior to any change. We have provided a brief summary of the main areas of the Bill below but urge anyone who believes they will be affected to review a copy of the Bill at www.deedi.qld.gov.au and make a submission to bccm.policy@deedi.qld.gov.au.
1. Introduction of the following Principles for deciding CSLE:
- Equality Principle -The CSLE must be equal except to the extent which it is just and equitable in the circumstances for them not to be equal.
- Relativity Principle - The CSLE must take into account factors such as the nature, features and characteristics of the lots, the purposes for which the lots are used, how the scheme is structured, the impact the lots may have on the costs of maintaining the common property and the market value of the lots.
- Unimproved Value Principle - Where the CSLE must be proportionate to the unimproved value of the lots.
- Market Value Principle - Interest Schedule Lot Entitlements must reflect the respective market values of the lots, except to the extent which is is just and equitable for the lot entitlements not to reflect the respective market values.
2. Adjustment of CSLE
A Body Corporate is still entitled to change its CSLE by passing a Reolution Without Dissent. The notice of meeting must be accompanied by a written document outlining the changes and the reasons for the changes.
An owner is still able to apply to have the CSLE changed either through Specialist Adjudication or the Queensland Civil & Administrative Tribunal (QCAT), however there are restrictions. For an existing scheme, the scheme must have been affected by a material change since the last time the CSLE were decided. For schemes established after the commencement of the Bill, the owner making the application must believe the CSLE are not consistent with the deciding principle.
3. Previous Decisions
The proposed Bill will allow an owner (who must have been an owner at the time an order was made) to submit a motion to the Body Corporate to revert back to the CSLE before any order to change them was made. There will be a three (3) year time limit for an owner to submit such a motion. If the Body Corporate receives a motion from an owner, it must identify the CSLE pre-adjustment and call a general meeting to allow owners to vote, by Resolution Without Dissent, whether to change the CSLE back to what they were pre-adjustment. Special provisions will apply to Lots that have been subdivided or amalgamated.
4. Applications already made
If an application is being heard by a Specialist Adjudictoar or QCAT and a decision has not been made or has not been given effect at the commencement of the Bill, it will cease to have effect when the Bill commences.
Some other relevant changes proposed include:
- A buyer may terminate a contract if it is entered into but before settlement, a new Community Management Statement (CMS) is recorded and:
- the seller does not give the buyer a copy of the new CMS within 14 days (or longer if agreed by both parties) after the new CMS is recorded; and
- the buyer would be materially prejudiced given the extent to which the new CMS was different to the previous CMS; and
- the buyer gives the seller 14 days notice (or longer if agreed) that they wish to terminate the contract.
- A buyer may terminate a contract if they are buying from the Original Owner for the Scheme if they reasonably believe that the CSLE are inconsistent with the principle on which they were decided and the buyer would be materially prejudiced if they completed the contract. There is a 90 day time limit to terminate after the buyer (or a person acting for the buyer) receives a copy of the contract."
Tuesday, August 10, 2010
UrbanEdge
Sunday, August 8, 2010
Admiralty Precinct
Tips for Apartment Investors
"Many people invest in apartments because they often have a cheaper buy-in price than houses and are also thought to be a lot easier to maintain without gardens to worry about, and with the costs of building maintenance shared across other owners.
But what makes a good investment unit?
Location, location
You can't get past the fact you need to look for an apartment in a good spot. In the city, walking distance to public transport and shops is a must. Nearby schools can be handy but many renters are single or young, childless couples, so a school nearby is probably going to be third on the list after a train or tram station or a very reliable bus route that is here to stay, and shops, cafés and other services. Buyers agents say you should look for a quiet side street rather than a busy main road.
Many renters are professionals who want to get into the city fast. For that reason, apartments closer to town are recommended over those on the outskirts by many buyers agents who argue they will attract higher capital growth. The downside is they often cost more to buy than units further out.
An apartment in an area where there's high development and plenty of other similar flats around would probably grow in value more slowly than an older unit in a pre-1980s building. That's because at sale time there could be stacks of similar new flats on the market but a well-built, well-located older unit will be a scarcer find."
Saturday, August 7, 2010
Friday, August 6, 2010
Mirvac's Hamilton Project
Listed real estate group Mirvac is set to continue its successful track record of quality residential development on Brisbane in-fill sites after the purchase of a prime 7,637-square-metre former Department of Primary Industry site at Hamilton.
Previous projects by Mirvac on classic in-fill sites in Brisbane include The Arbour On Grey (at South Bank), Quay West, Grosvenor, Waterline Bulimba, Park Hill Village, Mariner’s Reach, Cutters Landing and more recently Waterfront Newstead.
Mirvac’s Queensland CEO Matthew Wallace says the Hamilton site, located in Hercules Street, is six kilometres from the CBD and will likely accommodate more than 500 residences. Its end value will be around $300 million.
“We are very excited about the purchase of this site and while our planning is still in its initial stages at present we will be delivering a residential product that will broaden the price segments in which we operate,” he says. “The site is extremely well located and the same team that has delivered such projects as Cutters Landing, Tennyson Reach and more recently Waterfront Newstead will be behind the Hamilton development.
“The product will be affordable, it will be quality, it meets the State Government and city council’s planning goals of higher density in the CBD fringe and will be a prime example of contemporary urban design.” Wallace says the Hamilton development is a prime example of Mirvac’s national strategy to continually review and refine its product offering in line with demand and opportunities that arise.
...
Wallace says the Hamilton development will leverage off the established amenity within the immediate locale and it is proposed that the urban street environment will integrate with the existing Portside development.
The site is adjacent to the Portside Wharf development and cruise ship terminal, is approximately 500 metres to the City Cat, five minutes to the Gateway Motorway and 10 kilometres south of the Brisbane Airport.
The DPI has recently vacated the site.
“We are planning a range of innovative one and two bedroom product on the site and our research indicates that there will be significant demand for this product and this location,” he says.
“Our plan is to provide affordably priced, high-quality residences to a broad section of the marketplace and our team is excited about turning their minds to a new challenge.
...
Wallace says it is expected that approvals permitting, Mirvac will release the first of the residences at Hamilton next year.
See QBR
Alice Street Development by Sunland
The developer of the world's tallest residential tower Q1 on the Gold Coast has unveiled plans to build a $250-million luxury apartment tower in Brisbane's CBD. Sunland Group has lodged its proposal for the 44-storey Carrington Tower opposite the Botanical Gardens at 140 Alice Street, after acquiring a small slice of neighbouring land that currently houses a small apartment building.
The tower - said to be encased with a pewter glass wall with a subtle gold tint - will be built on the site of Devine's former French Quarter which was flattened by the global financial crisis in 2008.
Carrington Tower will be Sunland's first foray in the Queensland residential market since the completion of Q1 and Circle on Cavill at Surfers Paradise almost five years ago. Sunland Group managing director Sahba Abedian has hailed the design by Wood/Marsh as the developer's finest piece of architecture to be produced in the company's 27 years.
The facade of Carrington Tower will flow down to create a canopy over the lobby.
"We will be looking to create a very sculptural, iconographic tower that will really mark the entry into Brisbane from the southside of the city.
"It's a curvilinear building that really personifies the feminine form. If you look at the building it actually drapes out at the base that is not dissimilar to a beautiful dress - that's really the intent behind the tower."
Mr Abedian said he was confident Brisbane City Council would approve the tower by mid-2011, as it could potentially have an unprecedented amount of innovative sustainable design features, including solar panels incorporated into the louvres and blinds to capture and reuse energy.
"As we know the Baby Boomers are moving into retirement and lifestyle choices are changing ... and we hope to cater for these individuals," Mr Abedian said.
If approved by the council, Carrington Tower will be one of only a few buildings in Brisbane, including Riparian and The Grosvenor, designed for owner-occupiers. Mr Abedian said Carrington Tower would boast of the facilities of a hotel, including a 24-hour concierge.
"We believe there is strong demand for these environments," he said.
One-bedroom apartments with a study are expected to sell for about $500,000 and sub-penthouses $3 million.
Although Harry Triguboff's twin-tower residential development on Herschell and Adelaide streets is near completion and the abandoned Vision tower site on Mary Street may also be resurrected by developers Billbergia, Mr Abedian said he was confident there was room in the Brisbane market for Carrington Tower.
"We have a strong track record and we also have a very strong client base that I have no doubt will be very excited when we launch this project," Mr Abedian said.
"The testament of our capabilities is the proof of our projects through from Q1 to Circle on Cavill and Palazzo Versace."
Sunday, August 1, 2010
Real Estate Photography
Saturday, July 31, 2010
Auctions Today
"Ray White CBD residential principal Brendan Tutt said demand for property in and around the city had remained strong and there was a shortage of supply.
“The best time to sell is when demand exceeds supply,” he said. “And that’s what the situation is at the moment.”"
Friday, July 30, 2010
Australian House Prices Fall
"Aussie Dwelling Values Fall After 17 Consecutive Monthly Gains |
30 July 2010 RP Data – Rismark Home Value Index Release
"Despite the recent moderation in capital gains, the risk of a dramatic decline in Australian dwelling values remains remote. According to Mr Lawless, “As the RBA has independently confirmed, arguments in favour of house price “bubbles” remain, in my opinion, overstated. Australia’s housing market has a structural shortage of roughly 200,000 homes, which has been substantiated by the National Housing Supply Council. While the inventory of unsold homes has risen of late, our Market Activity Index suggests that new listings activity will slow over the coming months. And although average time on market and vendor discounting have also expanded with the weaker conditions, these remain in line with historically reasonable levels.” “If we saw blow-outs in average time on market, re-listings, and vendor discounting, it would set off a few alarm bells. This, however, is not currently the case” Mr Lawless said." Brisbane apartment prices did ok. Brisbane Apartments - medium prices Month of June (indicative) - up 1.2% Quarter - up 1.9% Year to Date - up 5.7% Year on Year - up 5.9% Medium price over quarter - settled sales - $380,000 Brisbane Apartments - medium prices Month of May - up 0.9% Quarter - up 1.6% Year to Date - up 4.5% Year on Year - up 7.9% |
Wednesday, July 28, 2010
New Vision Owner
Originally scheduled for completion in May 2012, Vision is a landmark development of a 5,478sqm site fronting Mary and Margaret Streets in the Brisbane CBD. The original designs included basement car parking, three levels of retail, 15 levels of office space, two observation decks and 53 levels of residential apartments.
“At this stage it is unclear whether the purchaser will build the original planned development. We will endeavour to obtain details from the purchaser with regard to their future intentions for the site and will provide further details to all stakeholders as these become available,” Campbell says.
The sale was negotiated by Jeff Dolan from Colliers International and Damian Winterburn from CapLand Real Estate Advisors, who jointly managed the sale process after receiving in excess of 10 offers.
Impacted by future development
Sunday, July 25, 2010
North Quay





This should be compared with Evolution, which is the nearest apartment building of similar age. Evolution is not yet sold out, and two bedroom apartments that originally sold off-the-plan in Evolution for $650,000 range and now listed for sale in the $550,000 range.