Thursday, June 18, 2009

Units Gain Market Share

"Instead, many prefer the cheaper priced units and apartments, which also often are closer to the CBD. The affordability is especially a growing factor this year, as that section of the market has become the dominant force in the property market. ...
With the growing market share, units have also shown a stronger capital growth than houses in nearly every capital of the country. In Sydney, Brisbane and Canberra, units showed positive 12 month growth in median value up to February this year, compared to negative growth for house median values. ...
Another key is to make sure there is a parking spot included, something that can make a huge difference in demand, especially if the unit is in an area with few street parking opportunities. “No matter where you buy an apartment, never ever buy it without allocated parking,” says Wakelin.

What not to buy

There are, however, areas where demand is not so strong. For one, stay away from high-rise apartments, particularly in areas of overdevelopment such as the Gold Coast, the Sydney CBD or the Docklands in Melbourne, say experts.

“We find for investment purposes, high-rise apartments do not work,” says Wakelin. “They are very generic, so there’s little scarcity value with them.” Ryder agrees, saying investors should not be swayed by the magnificent views from atop beachfront high-rises in the Gold Coast. Investors should remember they won’t be living in these properties, and in the long run, they don’t show as much capital growth.

“There’s a lot of glamour in buying a high rise, but history shows it’s generally a poor investment,” says Ryder. “Put aside the emotions, and just look at the sums. You’re better off not buying something with an ocean view like in Surfer’s Paradise.”

He also says buying a used apartment is better than buying a brand new one.

“There’s a huge price differential with a new product and equivalent second-hand product,” says Ryder. “That’s simply because the cost of development is so high. The research shows there’s commonly a price difference between 30-40% between new and old apartments.”

That ultimately means for an investor that it’s harder to get capital growth out of a newer product. It might look nicer, but it will cost you in the long run. There’s also little scarcity in some areas for new product, such as the Gold Coast, where new apartments have been built without abandon. And once its no longer new, you actually lose that tag and that value.

“There’s a lot of risk in committing to buy something now and paying two years later, whereas the market can go in the wrong direction in that time,” says Ryder. “Plus developers tend to build that (expected value growth) into today’s prices these days.”

REA

Time to Invest?

"One thing is for sure, the worst of the credit crunch is behind us now and this environment is very favourable to property investment. This will provide the ballast that keeps housing markets stable through these turbulent waters."
REA

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Some Owners Unable to Pay Strata Levies

"A call by debt collection agencies for reforms to the cost-recovery process for bodies corporate comes as apartment owners at a Brisbane building are locked in a legal fight with a resident, who had racked up a debt of more than $50,000 since 2004."

"In the Brisbane case, one of the owners in the 51-unit 1970s building on Leichhardt Street said that since 2004, the problem owner had not paid his strata fees or levies on time.

In two previous actions against him, one of the building's apartment owners, who did not want to be named for fear of retribution, said the problem owner ended up paying, with $20,000 of the $50,000 owed comprising legal fees.

"We have had two actions against him previously where he has paid on the steps of the court," they said.

"Because he is an ongoing serial pest, we should have some entitlement to say you are no longer entitled to be here."

The Australian

Gold Coast Bad - Midwood

On the Gold Coast, there were 79 new unit sales in the three months to May 2009, compared with just 49 the previous quarter. But it is a long way from the boom times of 2007 when 369 new units sold in the August quarter. The latest Midwood Queensland Investment Report says at current take-up rates there is more than four years' supply of new unit stock. In the past three months, nearly half of the new unit sales were in Meriton's Brighton on Broadwater project.

Midwood report author Bill Morris said most of these deals were in the sub $500,000 range, where the market was fairly steady.

Median price data from the Real Estate Institute of Queensland released yesterday reveals no change in the median price for units in the Gold Coast local government area.

The median of $345,000 for the March quarter is 3.4 per cent down on the previous year.

Real Estate Institute of Queensland chief executive officer Peter McGrath said price discounting had helped bring buyers back into the market at the upper end. "We've seen some receiver sales where people who bought a unit off the plan for $2.5 million, being sold for $1.6-$1.7 million," Mr McGrath said.

"Units that had previously been selling for $900,000 were getting $750,000."

In Brisbane, the unit market also is showing signs of improvement despite the median price for the Brisbane statistical division dropping 1.4 per cent over the quarter to $345,000. Over the year, the median has increased by 2.6 per cent.

There were 28 unconditional new apartment sales in Brisbane during the May 2009 quarter, the highest number since February last year. For the past 18 months, new unit sales have averaged 13 every three months.

The median price for all unit deals in Brisbane city has fallen 4.3 per cent to $440,000 in the three months to March 2009. Over the previous 12 months the median increased 1 per cent to $450,000.

The Australian and GC

Saturday, June 13, 2009

Housing Prices Hold Up

"Of course it's not good news at the top of the market, but despite all the attention given to Mosman, Toorak, Peppermint Grove and Noosa, that's only a small fraction of total Australian housing and doesn't matter very much in the overall economic scheme of things."

The Age

Maintenance Fees

Interesting comment from another blog:

"I must admit I had no idea what I was doing when I bought my first apartment; Low fees meant I liked the building, without knowing anything financially about the building, I have since researched the other buildings I was also interested in, and to be honest I was just plain LUCKY I bought in the building I did, only after joining the committee did I realize we actually have a huge surplus as well as low fees ( that have actually gone down further since I bought)
I also think it's a huge mistakes for people who purchase an apartment or unit with a strata title, but fail to join the committee or even attend the AGM, Its probably their biggest investment they will ever make, but they don't care how, or who is running it."

Domain Blog

Union at Milton

Union at Milton has updated its website -- FKP has cleared the site, and is waiting development approval.

Off The Plan Contracts

This week, the Queensland Fair Trading Minister Peter Lawlor announced that the Government would be legislating in response to the Court of Appeal decision of Bossichix Pty Ltd v Martinek Holdings Pty Ltd [2009] QCA 154 handed down on June 5.

The Minister said:

"The Supreme Court last Friday dismissed an appeal where, in the first instance, the buyer of a unit in a community titles scheme was held to have validly terminated the contract based on a technical breach of the Body Corporate and Community Management Act 1997. The technical breach related to section 212 of the Act and the court held that the contract did not strictly comply with the wording required to be used by the section.

The decision means that buyers can now potentially avoid a contract purely on a technical breach of the Act, even if they haven't experienced any material detriment. This puts hundreds and potentially thousands of off-the-plan contracts at risk. It is a potentially serious situation for the development sector and the wider Queensland economy.

The issue is that this legal precedent could be used, for example, where a buyer simply regrets entering into a contract, or if the buyer could have purchased a unit or property at a lower price. This was never the intention of the legislation and creates great uncertainty for sellers and developers, particularly in relation to off-the-plan sales where there is a long period of time between execution of the contract and settlement. We cannot afford this uncertainty in today's economic climate.

At the same time, the Government is not looking to in any way water down the legitimate consumer protections encompassed in the Act - rather to correct a technical failure of the contracts to fully reflect the requirements of the legislation. All of the normal protections of the legislation will be preserved.

The Government will be introducing legislation next week to address this situation and ensure that both buyer and seller are returned to the situation they believed to be the case - and agreed to - at the time of the signing of the contract."

Lawyer's comment

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Fire at Grosvenor

There was a fire at the Grosvenor Apartment building on Edward Street, Brisbane, this evening. The fire was on the balcony of a lower apartment. It was not a major fire, but was big enough so that flames could be seen from the street, and there was lots of smoke. About 5 fire engines attended.

Monday, June 8, 2009

Comment from a Reader re Oaks and Aurora

Sunday, June 7, 2009

Mirvac Sues Many

Mirvac Queensland has recently launched a number of lawsuits in the Supreme Court of Queensland. These lawsuits appear to seek performance of off-the-plan contracts for Tennyson Reach, where the buyer did not settle. Buyers that have been sued include McGann, MG Taylor Nominees, O'Hagan, De Pasquale, Holland, Crooks, Douyere, Thompson, Ibencastle Pty Ltd, Beioley, Campbell, Horne, and others. It would appear that Mirvac believes that the apartments that swiftly sold a few years ago off the plan are now worth less than the contract price? In the third stage of Tennyson Reach, about 70 apartments remain for sale in the Farringford Building. There are at least 12 apartments in stages one and two listed for resale. When I visited recently, the development seemed like a ghost town.

Oaks Sells Out - To Brother!

Oaks has sold the management rights for 212 Margaret Street and Lexicon Apartments. The sale was to a newly created company partly owned by the brother of the CEO. I feel sorry for owners of any apartments that Oaks manages. You can read reports in previous posts about how Oaks is turning apartment buildings into short term stay buildings. I feel even more sorry for the owners that are now dealing with this new entity.
At the recent Oaks AGM, there were reports that angry Aurora owners questioned the CEO of Oaks, and that he could not provide sensible answers.
See ASX Release and follow-up.

Apartment House


Bovis Lend Lease, an Australian company, is building a wonderful apartment building in New York City - 535 West End Avenue.

Some floors are full floor apartments, and on other floors there are two apartments per floor. One of the smaller apartments is 5 bedrooms, 5 bathrooms and is 408 square metres in size.

Why don't we get this quality apartment house in Brisbane?


Saturday, June 6, 2009

Suburbs With Greatest Number of Apartments List for Sale

See this chart for apartments with greatest number listed for sale. Chart is from RP Data's Property Pulse.

Saturday, May 30, 2009

RP Data - Rismark Index

"The falls in Brisbane property values witnessed during 2008 appear to be a thing of the past. On an annual basis dwelling values in Brisbane are still down by -3 per cent during the year with house values falling -2.9 per cent and unit values declining by -3.4 per cent. Over the first four months of 2009 Brisbane has begun to once again show positive growth. During the first four months of the year house values climbed 1.9 per cent whilst unit values fell by -0.2 per cent despite the fact Brisbane is home to mainland Australia's most affordable unit market. Rental returns for houses have softened slightly and currently sit at 4.6 per cent whilst unit rental yields continue to improve and are now recorded at 5.4 per cent."

Home values continue to recover, recording a healthy 2.8% increase over the first four months of 2009

The RP Data/Rismark Australian Home Value Index out today confirmed that housing values around Australia rose by a healthy 2.8 per cent over the first four months to April 09—virtually wiping out the price falls seen in 2008 according to RP Data National Research Director Tim Lawless.*

Unlike the Australian Bureau of Statistics House Price Index, which excludes terraces, semi-detached homes, and apartments, the RP Data/Rismark International hedonic methodology, which is reported by the Reserve Bank of Australia, includes all dwellings. In addition, RP Data benefits from the largest sample of early property sales and property attributes (such as number of bedrooms, bathrooms and land area) of any index provider in Australia.

Over the first four months to April 09, every mainland capital city apart from Perth recorded an increase in home values with the most significant gains in Darwin (+5.3 per cent), Melbourne (+4.4 per cent), and Sydney (+3.9 per cent).

According to Rismark International Managing Director Christopher Joye, “Our analysis demonstrates that home values are rising in around 80 per cent of all suburbs with only the top 20 per cent of suburbs ranked by price suffering material falls.”

The return to capital growth comes as weekly rental rates start to level. Mr Lawless said, “Rental rates across Australia have powered ahead over the last three years, providing the best gross rental yields investors have seen for a long time. We are now seeing growth rates for weekly rents start to level due to decreasing rental affordability which is causing many renters to consider buying a home instead of renting. Gross rental yields are likely to peak over the coming months suggesting that now is probably the best time for investors to roll up their sleeves and become active,” he said. In terms of housing stock, units are continuing to outperform houses where over the first four months of 2009 values increased by 3.3 per cent while house values increased by 2.7 per cent. In closing Mr Lawless said “The stronger performance of the unit market is due to a number of factors. Comparing median house and unit values nationally, the price gap between is just over $90,000, so the value proposition of a unit is very compelling. Additionally, units are generally located closer to the city and along transport spines which is very appealing to many Gen Y and Gen X buyers,” he said.

See www.rpdata.com/news/rp/20090529_media.html
and Tables

Market Commentary for Brisbane

"Property prices in the sub-$520,000 market are continuing to attract high levels of interest from first homebuyers keen to secure their expanded First Home Owner Grant, according to Meighan Hetherington from Property Pursuit.

She says any slowdown in activity in this price range as the First Home Owner Boost phases out should be replaced by the return of investors.

“Rental vacancy rates remain under 1.7 per cent in many metropolitan suburbs and gross rental yields on recent purchases have lifted to 4.5 per cent in some locations for freehold houses and above 5 per cent for units and townhouses,” Hetherington says.

“Good buying opportunities also still exist in the $1 million plus price range as purchasers are still hanging back and waiting for others to lead the way.”

See API Magazine

Riparian Plaza For Sale

There are four apartments for sale on the one floor in Riparian -- for about $15 million total. Thus, you can buy the whole floor, and have 12 bedrooms and 14 carparks!

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Brisbane Rates

Admiralty Quays - 1 bedroom apartment

There is a one bedroom direct river front apartment for sale in Admiralty Quays, listed at $625,000. This is one of the best buildings in Brisbane City, but that is a steep price. There are about 14 apartments in this building currently available for rent, including six furnished one bedrooms at $600 per week. (For about the same price, you can rent a two bedroom apartment with river views in Arbour on Grey at South Bank.)

Residex Prediction

"Residex is now confident that the property market will not crash as it did in the USA and UK. In fact, some areas are about to experience good future capital growth..."

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Muddled Market

"The Australian Bureau of Statistic's latest report was of a 6.7 per cent national fall in the prices of detached residential dwellings for the year, and a 2.2 per cent fall since the December 2008 quarter.

That contrasts with figures from Australian Property Monitors and RP Data/Rismark International, both of which recently reported slight increases in national housing prices between the December 2008 and March 2009 quarters. Part of the reason is that ABS statistics are only for detached housing, while the other two include units, terraces and semi-detached dwellings.

But the difference really only highlights that statistics shouldn't be taken in isolation when making decisions about buying. Buyers advocate Curtis Associates says the APM and RP data figures are probably closer to what's really happening."

Source: The Australian

Friday, May 22, 2009

Letter from Vision

Light Rail for Brisbane

Brisbane's inner-city rail study has got the green light in the federal budget with a $20 million investment to work out an underground route and a preferred way of funding the ambitious $14.2 billion project.

SMH

Colliers March 09 Apartment Report

"Currently, the new apartment market is not healthy. A lack of appropriate product, has led to a lack of demand. Only 87 new apartments were sold the Inner City during the three month period to March 2009 producing a weighted average sale price of $650,063. From a historical perspective, this is the lowest weighted average price Brisbane has recorded since the March quarter in 2007 and displays the mind set of the current consumer who is seeking a price driven product. A total of 688 new apartments remain for sale within the Inner Brisbane ring. The bulk of this Inner City product exists as two and three bedroom apartments totalling 41% and 37% of new stock respectively. Based on recent demand through the past three months, the 688 available apartments allow an apartment supply of almost two years, a subjective figure but an eye opening one nonetheless."

Source: Colliers International Brisbane Apartment Report March Qtr 2009

Saturday, May 9, 2009

Too Many Small Apartments?

"One of the other more interesting aspects that is starting to emerge in the market is the trend to smaller lot sizes and smaller houses, tiny apartments and an obsession with price points. In the short term this is a natural market reaction to tighter credit conditions, rising unemployment and a realisation that it is no longer a matter of “build it and they will come”. However, the net result of this market reaction and redesigning of projects not yet ready for the market is that in three years time, there will be a chronic shortage of good quality, larger apartments. This will apply to some extent to land subdivisions, however there is considerably more flexibility in being able to redesign land. The same cannot be said for apartments. So from this perspective, in late 2010 or early 2011 when Australia should be gathering momentum in the world again, there will be a shortage of premium, well located apartment product that is available to the market."

"Property values will fall in certain circumstances, but they only fall if you have to sell. Property is also not really a readily tradable commodity like shares, particularly when credit has become moredifficult to source. However the expectation surrounding residential property was that it continued to be easily bought and sold and as a result was highly liquid...wrong."

Source: NPR May 09 Newsletter

Thursday, May 7, 2009

Dark Vision

Austcorp, the developers of Vision in Brisbane, has called in the administrators.

"The group said a "key cause" of its appointment of a voluntary administrator was the withdrawal of one of three banks in the syndicate to finance to Vision project.

It said it was "optimistic" the tower would go ahead and it would continue to "talk with interested parties who share their recognition that Vision is a very significant Queensland and Australian project that must succeed"."

Brisbane Times

See also The Australian

Monday, May 4, 2009

Real Estate Investment Books

List of real estate investing books (that can be shipped to Australia)Visit the Real Estate Book Store

Mirvac's Tennyson Reach



Mirvac's Tennyson Reach (Stage One - the first two apartment buildings) is complete, and residents will be moving in this month.

I visited the display apartment at Mirvac's Tennyson Reach apartment complex. The apartment was on the 6th floor of the Softstone building -- it is a 3 bedroom apartment -- a "floor through" apartment with the main bedroom and a balcony at the front and two bedrooms at the rear. The view from the main bedroom, with floor to ceiling glass, was absolutely fantastic. A great view up river towards Indooroopilly, and you can see the city in the other direction. The Indooroopilly Gold Course is across the river.

The quality of the apartment was A1 plus. Plenty of room. The lighting was particularly clever. I loved the apartment and the view to the river. The view out the back was so-so. If the apartment was not so expensive (about $1.7M for the display apartment) and the location was not so remote, then I would definitely buy!

There seem to be more than 30 apartments listed for re-sale on RealEstate.com.au. Some examples:

Saturday, May 2, 2009

Brisbane Vacancy Rate

Vacancy rate for all Brisbane properties (houses and apartments, anywhere in Brisbane) is a low 1.9%

SQM has a good website to look at rental vacancy rates:
Brisbane City (4000 postcode) - 1.7%
South Brisbane area (4101) - 1.6%
Toowong (4066) - 1.4%
St Lucia (4067) - 1.5%
Indooroopilly (4068) - 1.9%
Sherwood area (4075) - 2.6%
Hamilton (4007) - 4.4%
Noosa (4567) - 2.2%
Mooloolaba (4557) - 1.3%

See also story in Courier Mail

"INNER Brisbane rents are increasing at more than 10 per cent a year, with a downturn in new apartments expected to keep vacancies tight.

DTZ Research has shown the biggest growth has been in one-bedroom units in the inner south and inner west suburbs of South Brisbane, West End and Indooroopilly, where rents have risen by up to 20 per cent.

The median rent of a one-bedroom unit in the inner south is now $420 a week, only $10 less than the CBD median price. DTZ director of project marketing Paul Barratt said the strongest growth in the next two years would be in near-city units and middle-ring suburbs with good transport."

APH Liquidation Sale

"THE last apartments in the Drift development at Casuarina will be up for grabs via a liquidation sale, after developer APH Properties announced a major sell-off of its final holdings in the project."

"On completion in 2010, the Casuarina community is expected to include 600 beach homes and 1500 apartments and villas, along with commercial and recreational facilities."

Source: GC

Prices still seem high. They are listed at $685,000 to $900,000 for a three bedroom apartment.

I will avoid this development and location!

APH is the developer who is trying to get Trilogy Towers off the ground - so maybe they need cash to proceed with Trilogy? The sales agent said that APH had finance, and would start work in February this year, but clearly that was not the case.

Friday, May 1, 2009

New Vigour in Property

Matusik comment

HTW Month in Review

Month in Review

HTW says that, in relation to sales of Brisbane apartments, the market is at the bottom.

Prices Bounce Back

See RP Data Index and Full Report

Brisbane
The slowdown during 2008 hit Brisbane harder than many other capital cities, which is largely due to prices perhaps overshooting the mark in ’07. Brisbane had a stellar run in 2007 with dwelling values increasing by 25 per cent over the calendar year – the highest annual rate of growth of any capital city during that period. Over the last 12 months Brisbane residential values have fallen 3.4 per cent across both the houses and units market. Modest growth has returned to the Brisbane market during 2009 with the first three months of year seeing house values up 1.4 per cent and unit values up 0.4 per cent. Rental returns are approximately on par with the national average with houses providing a gross yield of 4.7 per cent and units 5.4 per cent.

Coolum