Showing posts with label Admiralty One. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Admiralty One. Show all posts

Saturday, August 29, 2009

Admiralty



Photos of the Admiralty apartment precinct, on the Brisbane River. From left to right, the apartment buildings are Admiralty Towers Two, Admiralty One, Admiralty Quays and River Place. Note that Skyline and Macrossan are not river front building. Skyline is the gray building behind Admiralty One. Macrossan is still under construction behind Skyline and cannot be seen.

Sunday, August 9, 2009

Finding a Good Apartment to Rent in Brisbane

Introduction

Even though the vacancy rate is increasing in Brisbane, many of the good apartments for rent are hard to find. Often, this is because the existing tenant does not leave, and when they do become available, are snapped up quickly. For the better buildings, a large percentage of the apartments are occupied by the owner, and so are not rented out. Also, onsite managers often control the rental rolls, and don't often advertise on the usual property websites (as they don't need to do so). Some have their own website. Also, onsite managers may have a relationship with executive relocation services, that are fed the better apartments.

At one time, a good specialist website for apartments was http://www.seqrents.com.au However, it seems that some buildings are not using this site anymore, or are not bothering to update their listing on this site. So, although useful, it is less useful.

The largest number of listings are located on RealEstate.com.au, but a number of onsite managers do not use this website.

You have to find out how each manager advertises his/her vacancy.

Generally, you want to avoid any buildings managed by Oaks, as they focus on short term hotel style rentals.

Also, look at the posts and links on this blog. This website has a list of most city apartment buildings, with useful information and links about them. Also, try this customized search engine.

Inner City Brisbane:

I recommend Arbour on Grey at SouthBank: http://arbour.com.au/cms/welcome.html

Also, Saville at SouthBank is one of the nicest buildings if you get a river facing apartment: http://www.seqrents.com.au/saville/index.htm. The best thing to do here is call, because the website is not updated regularly. Telephone 07 3305 2559

If you want to live downtown, then I recommend the Admiralty Precinct. This comprises three first-tier buildings (Admiralty One, Admiralty Two and Admiralty Quays), plus River Place (good location, not as good quality) and Skyline (second tier).

Admiralty One is good value, and has some of the largest two bedroom apartments in Brisbane - http://www.admiraltyone.com.au/

Admiralty Two also has good sized apartments, and the building has great facilities. http://www.admiraltytwo.com.au/

Admiralty Quays is newer, and has a great pool, but the apartments are smaller. and it is more expensive. http://www.admiraltyquays.com/

Nearby on the river in the city is River Place, that is not as good quality, but is likely to have availability as this is a large complex. Careful of Storey Bridge noise. Great views.

On Alice Street in the city, if you can get an apartment in Quay West, that is fantastic, as it has park and river views -- for long term rentals, the best agent to try is Blockside & Fergerson for this building. Half of this building is a hotel managed, so it is easy to get short term accommodation in Quay West. All apartments are privately owned. You want to get above level 7.

For an inner city downtown building, Metro 21 is one of the better quality buildings. It has only 4 apartments per floor -- and tries to be more upmarket so is better than most buildings that aim at students -- it seems to have better availability, and some of the two bedroom apartments have three bathrooms. The baloneys are large: http://www.realestate.com.au/realestate/agent/metro+21+brisbane/mlibri
and http://www.metro21apartments.com.au/

Apartments in Suburbs

The suburbs that I recommend, due to location, transport and large number of better quality apartments, are Toowong, St Lucia, Taringa, Indooroopilly and possibly Milton and Hamilton. I don't recommend Chermside.

The newest complex in the Toowong / Taringa area is Fresh. This complex has two pools, a gym and great gardens. http://www.realestate.com.au/realestate/agent/acorn+realty+taringa/nrqhzu

Next door to Fresh is Encore, which is a relatively nice complex, with good pricing (but not as nice as Fresh, and some of the apartments are small). http://www.seqrents.com.au/encore/

St Lucia is harder to find quality -- there are few onsite managers. So you have to try local real estate agents, such as Ray White (who also has listings in Fresh).

In Indooroopilly, there has been recent construction, so there are a number of new, quality buildings. My two picks are Riva and Ciana.

Riva has apartments with great river views. It is a quiet building, with a pool, and is close to the train station and Indooroopilly Shopping Centre http://www.seqrents.com.au/riva/

Ciana is a larger new complex, in a central location, with many large apartments. There is a pool and gym, plus a bowls club! http://www.ciana.com.au/

If you want an apartment complex that feels more suburban, then Parklands at Sherwood is a great choice. Many apartments have park/rural views, and there is a great pool and bbq area http://www.centralsherwood.com.au/.

Nearby is Tennyson Reach, where you can get a large new apartment on the river. This is a new complex, but (apart from river views) not a great location.

This is a list by a selling agent about various inner city buildings:
http://www.openhouserealty.com.au/html/residential/21/apartment-buildings

Sunday, July 19, 2009

Mixed Use Buildings

This legal decision, concerning Admiralty Towers, highlights a problem that often arises in mixed use buildings. Admiralty Towers had a cafe on the ground floor associated with the onsite manager (and Open House Realty), that has been vacant for some time. At present, the by-laws do not allow cooking in the cafe.
http://rslr.justice.qld.gov.au/RSLRWEB/search/orderdetails.aspx?d=19542
Many new apartment buildings have mixed uses, that often raise disputes between residential tenants and other (usually commercial) tenants.

Sales in Brisbane City

Admiralty Towers One - 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car, 148 sqm, level 19, sold in March 2009 for $1,200,000

Admiralty Towers Two - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car, 106 sqm, level 14 - sold in March 2009 for $725,000

Quay West - 1 bedroom, 1 bath, 1 car - 75sqm, level 4 - sold in April 2009 for $450,000

Riparian - 2 bed, 2 bath, level 41 - sold at auction for $1,400,000

Grosvenor - 3 bedrooms sold at auction for $1,535,000 on 3 July

Saturday, January 31, 2009

Brisbane Rentals

It is rental season in Brisbane, and there is strong competition for apartments. Many people are delaying a buying decision, and so are renting. Some renters have locked in long term leases, taking these apartments off the market for some time. Some investors have put their apartments into a short term letting pool for nightly "hotel" rentals, taking these away from the permanent rental market.


Rents for decent unfurnished two bedroom apartments are as high as $600 per week. One bedroom apartments in decent complexes are very popular and hard to find. Add $100 a week for a furnished apartment.

If you are looking to rent, here are some ideas:
Also, have a look at this prior post.

Lawsuit Against Council over Brisbane Apartment Rates

BRISBANE unit owners have launched a Supreme Court challenge against the validity of the Brisbane City Council's rating parity factor scheme.

The scheme was introduced by Lord Mayor Campbell Newman in the 2008-09 Brisbane City Council Budget and has been strongly opposed by unit owners, particularly in inner city areas.

Paul Cassels and Darryl Penfold, the president and vice-president of the Brisbane Association for Rates Equity (BARE), filed documents in the Supreme Court in which they seek a court order declaring the new rates scheme unlawful and invalid. The action has been brought by Mr Cassels and Mr Penfold on behalf of all BARE members, who are owners of lots in community titles schemes in Brisbane.

Outside court Mr Cassels said the Lord Mayor had tried to set the rest of Brisbane against unit owners by declaring they were millionaire "penthouse owners".

He said that wasn't true and the BARE was made up of average people who were opposed to rate hikes of up to 500 per cent. "The actions of the Lord Mayor have been disgusting," he said.

Mr Cassels said he hoped the Lord Mayor would reconsider his stand before the matter had to go to a court hearing. He predicted the issue would be a major factor in the next state elections.

Mr Cassels said the parity factor was a controversial rating mechanism that dramatically increased the general rates on thousands of units and townhouses throughout the city along with commercial and retail strata title property.

He said while the initial impact of the scheme would be felt most in inner city and near city areas, the exponential value formula on which the scheme was based meant that every year more and more units throughout Brisbane would be automatically "caught." BARE has already been instrumental in a substantial re-working of the scheme.

However, BARE has made it clear that it wants the scheme dropped and the rates cap on owner-occupied CTS property (also removed last year as part of the parity scheme) reinstated immediately.

Source: Courier Mail

Monday, January 26, 2009

Rentals In Brisbane

It is rental season in Brisbane, and there is strong competition for apartments.  Many people are delaying a buying decision, and so are renting.  Some renters have locked in long term leases, taking these apartments off the market for some time.  Some investors have put their apartments into a short term letting pool for nightly "hotel" rentals.

Rents for decent unfurnished two bedroom apartments are as high as $600 per week.  One bedroom apartments in decent complexes are very popular and hard to find.  Add $100 a week for a furnished apartment.

If you are looking to rent, here are some ideas:

Friday, November 7, 2008

Howard Smith Wharf redevelopment


The Council has issued a plan for urban renewal in the wharf area under the Story Bridge. It looks like an excellent plan, and my guess is that it will increase the value of the apartments in the Admiralty precinct. It is called the Howard Smith Wharves redevelopment.

Details here and here.


Saturday, October 25, 2008

Soleil Tower Sales Launched Today


Meriton's Soleil, its first building in Brisbane, launches this weekend. (Completion of the building is planned for 2011 or 2012.)

It will be 74 levels, and 234 metres high, located at the end of Adelaide Street, behind Skyline and next door to Macrossan (which is under construction).

Floors 31 to 64 contain the apartments that Meriton will sell. Floors 65 to 74, comprising 42 apartments, are not for sale. Floors 30 and below will probably be 175 serviced apartments, owned and managed by Meriton. A total of 188 apartments will go on sale this weekend. They are 1 to 3 bedroom apartments. The 2 and 3 bed apartments have 2 bathrooms, and an underground carpark (up to 10 levels below Adelaide Street level).

On the higher floors (above level 41), there are five apartments per floor. There are 3 elevators for about 220 apartments, which is not a great ratio. (Admiralty Two, just nearby, has 191 apartments and six elevators.)

None of the apartments have balconies. Airconditioned, full length windows, and floor to ceiling tiles in the bathroom. Indoor pool and gym.

Here are some example two bed, two bath apartments:

Apartment 6001, level 60, views south down the Brisbane River over the top of Skyline, 79 sqm and 1 car park. Listed for sale at $823,000, which is about $10,400 a sqm.

Apartment 4205, level 42, limited views between Admiralty Quays and River Place, but good views over All Hallows, 83 sqm and 1 car park. Listed for sale at $672,000, which is just over $8,000 per sqm.

Apartment 5204, level 52, views over Admiralty Quays, 78 sqm and 1 carpark. Listed for sale at $688,000, which is just over $8,800 a sqm.

Compare existing, older stock of 2 and 3 bedroom apartments nearby:

From what I can tell, the current actual sales price for direct riverfront apartments in the city is between $6000 and $7000 a sqm.

Overall, Soleil is in a great location, the floor plans seem to be well designed, and Meriton will deliver. Care should be taken when selecting, as some apartments will not have great views due to neighbouring buildings -- but some apartments should have great views (if you like heights!). The apartments are a little small for my liking, and I am not sure about lack of balconey.


Saturday, August 30, 2008

HWT Report

"If inner city apartment living is your thing, there are a couple of alternatives worth your time. For an entry level option, try a one bedder with a carpark and a sale price around the $370,000 to $390,000 mark. The car accommodation can be sold or rented separately for a healthy quick return, or retained to take advantage of further growth. If you looking for owner occupier stock, lower level units in the old Admiralty Towers complex are hard to beat. While they may not have the flash-bang impact of some of the newer high rise projects, your home looks down both stretches of the river with easy access to both the city centre and the wilds of Fortitude Valley. $700,000-odd could be well spent here."

See http://www.htw.com.au/Downloads/Files/195_September_2008_Month_in_Review.pdf

Friday, June 13, 2008

Admiralty One - New Listings for 2 bed apartments

A few days ago, I wrote about a good 2 bed apartment for sale in Admiralty Towers Two. I have recently become aware of two large two bedroom apartments for sale in the neighbouring building, Admiralty Towers. These apartments are large -- 130 sqm for a 2 bedroom apartment -- which is larger than many three bedroom apartments being built today. Absolute river views that can never be built out. End apartments, so windows on the side (for the kitchen and bathroom). Admiralty Towers has a well run body corporate and a large sinking fund.

Two bedrooms listed for sale at $880,000.

Two bedrooms listed for sale at $840,000.

It is unusual for these kind of 2 bedrooms to be offered for sale.

Monday, May 19, 2008

Example Rents in Brisbane City

New Buildings - Furnished

1 bed, no car - M on Mary - $500 per week
2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - Evolution - $900 per week
2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - Skyline - $1,300 per week
3 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - Skyline - $900 per week
3 bed, 2 bath, 3 cars - Riparian - $2200 per week

Other Buildings - Furnished

2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - Admiralty Towers - $680 per week
2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - Saville South Bank - $740 per week

New Buildings - Unfurnished

2 bed, 1 bath, 1 car - Evolution - $650 per week
2 bed, 2 bath, no car - Aurora - $660 per week
3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car - Skyline - $1500 per week
3 bed, 2 bath, 3 car - Riparian - $1850 per week

Other Buildings - Unfurnished

2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - Admiralty Two - $580 per week
2 bed, 3 bath, 1 car - Metro 21 - $575 per week

Saturday, May 17, 2008

Admiralty One - New Listings

Admiralty One, which in my opinion, has some of the best apartment buildings in Brisbane, has two 2 bedroom apartments for sale. The best two bedroom design in AD1 is over 130 sqm, which is 30 sqm larger than the largest 2 bedroom in Skyline. This design has a separate kitchen and separate laundry room, and is on the end of the building, so that the kitchen and bathroom have windows. Also, AD1 is direct river front, the body corporate fund and sinking fund have plenty of cash, and the building prohibits short term rentals.

Two bedrooms, for sale at $900,000

Two bedrooms, for sale at $850,000

Three bedrooms, for sale at $2,500,000

Friday, May 2, 2008

Interesting Apartments for Sale In Brisbane

Riparian: 3 bedroom with great river views, high quality building: listed at $3,300,000

Admiralty One: 3 bedrooms on high floor, great river views, high quality building: listed at $2,500,000

River Place Villa, 3 bedrooms, listed at $2,100,000

River Place, 3 bedrooms, listed at $2,000,000

Admiralty Two, 3 bedrooms, high quality building listed at $1,300,000

River Place, 2 bedrooms, renovated with new kitchen: listed at $900,000

River Place, 2 bedrooms: listed at $690,000

Quay West: large 1 bedroom over looking the Botanical Gardens, high quality building: listed at $550,000

All the above have "never to be built out" views.

Also, Aurora: 2 bedrooms, corner, high floor, but may be impacted by Trilogy: listed at $749,000

I will be interested to see what these apartments actually sell for.

Saturday, April 26, 2008

AFR - RP Data Brisbane Apartment Survey 2007

Building

Number of Resales

Median Annualised Capital Growth

Median hold period

Riparian Plaza

4

24.8%

2.8 years

Grosvenor

7

11.9%

3.7 years

Admiralty Towers

10

9%

6 years

KoKo

15

7.6%

2.3 years

Quay West

13

6.1%

11.1 years

Festival Towers

61

2.3%

3.9 years

Charlotte Towers

13

0.8%

2.9 years

Capital Growth is only for apartments that were sold in 2007. The median hold period includes time held from original off-the-plan contract date to sale.

Friday, April 25, 2008

How to Find a Great Apartment to Rent in Brisbane

** Updated post click here **

It is becoming harder to find a good apartment to rent in Brisbane. Not only are rents increasing, but there are few new buildings opening over the next few years and a number of existing buildings are being turned into short stay "hotels".

Good apartments are often snapped up quickly. Also, onsite managers control the majority of apartments for rent in most buildings, and don't often advertise on the usual property websites (as they don't need to do so). Some have their own website. Onsite managers may have a relationship with executive relocation services that are given preference.

You have to find out how each manager advertises his/her vacancy.

If you are looking for a place to rent a good inner city apartment, I believe that this is one of the better sites to look at: http://www.seqrents.com.au

This website has a list of most city apartment buildings, with useful information and links about them. Also, try this customized search engine.

You want to avoid any buildings that are primarily short stay buildings (unless of course you want to stay for 2 nights to 2 months.) So avoid buildings managed by Oaks, as they focus on short term hotel style rentals. Look here if you want a short stay apartment in Brisbane.

There are some cross-over buildings, that are officially hotels but that have apartments on higher floors. Usually, the apartments in these buildings have the option of receiving hotel services. Two examples are Quay West and Saville South Bank, which are good places to live.

Look around -- the rents for some of the newer buildings are much higher, and the apartments are smaller, than in buildings that are five to ten years old.

Some places to look:

In the downtown area:

Admiralty One, is good value: http://www.seqrents.com.au/admiralty/

Admiralty Quays and Admiralty Two are also good quality. At present, I think some of the best value apartments for rent are in Admiralty Two.

Admiralty One (also called Admiralty Towers), Admiralty Two and Admiralty Quays were all developed by the same developer and are direct river front, an easy walk to the downtown. They all have one or more swimming pools.

Next door to Admiralty Quays on the river in the city is River Place , that is clearly not as good quality (it is a Devine built building), but is likely to have availability as this is a large complex. Careful of Storey Bridge noise. Great views. Recently taken over by Mint Apartments, which is doing short stay and hotel rentals.

For an inner city downtown building, Metro 21 is one of the better quality buildings. It has only 4 apartments per floor -- and tries to be more upmarket so is better than most buildings that aim at students -- it seems to have better availability, and some of the two bedroom apartments have three bathrooms. It does not do short stay. The balconies are large: http://www.realestate.com.au/realestate/agent/metro+21+brisbane/mlibri
and http://www.metro21apartments.com.au/

On Alice Street in the city, if you can get an apartment in Quay West, that is fantastic, as it has park and river views. Half of this building is a hotel managed by Mirvac. All apartments are privately owned. You want to get above level 7.

It is also worth trying some of the off-site agents:

In my opinion, some of the buildings to avoid (see prior posts) are

  • 212 Margaret
  • Festival Towers
  • Charlotte Towers
  • Aurora
  • River City
  • Felix
  • Casino Towers
In SouthBank:

I recommend Arbour on Grey at SouthBank: http://arbour.com.au/cms/welcome.html

Also, Saville at SouthBank is one of the nicest buildings if you get a river facing apartment: http://www.seqrents.com.au/saville/index.htm

I know people at LeftBank at West End who like living there, but it is a little bit far to walk to any shops -- it is in an industrial area: http://www.seqrents.com.au/leftbank/

In the suburbs:

In the back of Toowong, Encore is a relatively nice complex, with good pricing (but currently construction next door, so take care of which apartment). http://www.seqrents.com.au/encore/

St Lucia is harder to find quality -- the quality is there, it is just that there are few onsite managers and it is harder work to find good available apartments.

In Indooroopilly, Riva is the only quality building -- again, some noise in some apartments due to nearby construction. Some have river views. http://www.seqrents.com.au/riva/

There are very few vacancies in quality apartments in the suburbs.

Sunday, February 24, 2008

Market Forces

My theory is that if a building has too many apartments for sale at any one time, this negatively impacts the value of the apartments. First, it shows high turnover (which could mean dissatisfaction. Second, it drives the price down -- as purchasers can play each seller off. On the other hand, scarcity drives values higher.

I have tried to work out how many apartments are for sale in certain buildings as at today, looking at various sources, and this what I conclude. I did not count anything reported to be under contract. The details are probably inaccurate, but the overall picture is probably about right:

Brisbane City

  • Admiralty Towers One - 0
  • Admiralty Quays - 1
  • Admiralty Towers Two - 2
  • Quay West - 2
  • Metro 21 - 4
  • River Place - 5
  • Felix - 6
  • Casino Towers - 8
  • Skyline - at least 26 (plus what the developer has not yet sold)
  • Festival Towers - 32
  • Charlotte Towers - at least 40 (plus what the developer has not yet sold)
  • Aurora - 41
  • M on Mary - more than 100
South Bank area
  • Saville South Bank - 0
  • Arbour on Grey - 2
A Niche Realty Newsletter reports the following regarding number of sales and median sales price over a six month period (1 May 2007 to 30 October 2007):


By comparison, in the whole of Indooroopilly, there are 12 apartments/units currently listed for sale, of varying age and quality.

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Admiralty One - Two Bedroom

Apartment 101 in Admiralty is listed for sale at $610,000. This is one of the apartments at the back of the building. Two bedrooms, two bathrooms, one car. This same apartment was listed for sale with the same agent in October 2006 for $450,000. Now thats a good capital gain!

Monday, January 14, 2008

Two Bedroom Apartments Above $800,000 in Brisbane City

Some recent sales (all two bedrooms)

  • Parklands, Apt 6042, $875,000
  • Felix, Apt 377, $950,000
  • Quay West, Apt 1901, $850,000
  • Quay West, Apt 2006, $830,000

Some listings (all two bedrooms)
  • Casino Tower Penthouse, $1,300,000
  • Riparian Plaza, $2,200,000
  • Quay West, Apartment 606, $800,000
  • Evolution, Apartment 52 (level 5) (77sqm internal), $958,000
  • Evolution, Apartment 166 (level 16) (89sqm internal), $868,500
  • Evolution sub penthouse, Apartment 323, $1,640,000
  • Evolution, Apartment 344, $1,740,000
  • Evolution, $850,000
  • Admiralty Towers Two, $815,000
  • Admiralty Quays, $880,000
  • Parklands, Pinnacle, 9th floor, $1,050,000
  • Parklands, Pinnacle, 6th floor, $975,000
  • Quest River Park Central, 29th floor, $1,400,000
  • Grosvenor on Edward, $1,100,000

Tuesday, January 1, 2008

What will 2008 have in store for the Brisbane apartment market?

First, how did the Brisbane apartment market do in 2007?

The results were mixed.

It is hard to get reliable information about "the state of the market" when looking at inner city apartments in Brisbane. Agents only seem to remember the last two weeks -- if they made some good sales in the past 2 weeks, then the market is booming; if they didn't get new listings or a contract collapsed, then the market is heading towards a bust.

Information providers, such as RP Data and PRDColliers, have good information, and this information is often used by the media to make general conclusions. However, general conclusions are often not useful when considering a particular apartment building or apartment.

Capital Gains

Some apartment buildings did very well, and others did not. Overall, a good building had at least a 10% capital gain in 2007.

The buildings that had good capital gains include:

• Riverplace, where the average 2 bedroom apartment increased from about $500,000 to over $600,000.
• Admiralty Two, where 2 bedroom apartments increased from about $650,000 to $720,000 (with one now listed at over $800,000).
• Quay West, with a 2 bedroom apartment selling to a senior Devine employee at auction for over $800,000.
• Metro 21, with high floor 2 bedroom apartments increasing from less than $460,000 to more than $500,000.
• Arbour on Grey, with 2 bedroom apartments now in the low $700,000 range.

Buildings that have been disappointments include:

• Charlotte Towers and Festival Towers - with Oaks taking over management. Many developer apartments still remain for sale in Charlotte Towers. Investors who purchased off the plan have had a hard time getting good prices on resale, with over 800 pokey poor quality student apartments in these two buildings, where the views will likely be lost as buildings grow around them and there will always be competition amongst sellers.
• Casino Towers, also taken over by Oaks, and with North Bank plans taking out the river views.
• Aurora, a poor quality ghetto building.
• Vue, at Milton, with apartments that sold off the plan in the mid $700,000s reselling at auction in the mid $500,000s.
• Koko, that still has not sold out, and the complex feels like a ghost town. The developer overpromised and under delivered.

Rents

Rents increased, and vacancy rates dropped in 2007. But the overall rental market is not as good as many newspaper articles suggest. The poorer quality buildings are full of students, often with 6 people living in a 2 bedroom apartment, on a rent subsidised by the developer who promised the first owner a rental guarantee. Many apartments are occupied by corporate renters (such as Accenture, engineers working on the tunnel, etc) who are willing to pay high prices for new furnished apartments; but this demand will not continue indefinitely. Some buildings, such as those managed by Oaks, are turning apartments into hotel rooms, thus reducing supply. Although December is not the best month to find tenants, there are many empty apartments in Brisbane awaiting tenants. Skyline and Koko, for example, have many empty apartments.

Although rents increased in 2007, the rate of increase slowed towards the end of the year. It is now hard to find a good unfurnished two bedroom apartment for rent in the inner city for less than $550.

Predictions for 2008

Quality inner city apartments in Brisbane will do well in 2008. Capital growth will continue, and vacancy rates will remain low. Reasons for this include:

▪ Brisbane population will continue to increase.
▪ International students still regard Brisbane as a desirable location.
▪ There are many infrastructure projects in Brisbane, requiring professional staff to work in Brisbane.
▪ Traffic will get worse, and many young singles and families will want to live in quality accommodation close to work and other facilities.
▪ It is becoming more acceptable and desirable to live in an apartment in Brisbane.
▪ The U.S. subprime problems will have little long term impact in Brisbane.
▪ There will be few new buildings entering the market in the next two years. M on Mary and Evolution, both second tier buildings, will be complete in 2008. That's about it. There are only six buildings listed on realestate.com.au in the developers section for the CBD, and four of these are completed buildings (Vue, Trilogy, Pinnacle, Skyline, The Hub, Evolution). It does not look like any new buildings will be ready in 2009. There will be new buildings for which marketing will commence in 2008, but these buildings will not be ready until at least 2010.

So here are some predictions for 2008:

• The price of a good quality 2 bedroom 2 bathroom apartment in Brisbane, with views, will be at least $800,000.
• The price of an average quality 2 bedroom 2 bathroom apartment in Brisbane will reach $650,000.
• By the end of 2008, it will be hard to find any modern inner city apartment in Brisbane in a good location for less than $600,000.
• New off-the-plan 2 bedroom apartments (for buildings where marketing commences in 2008) will start at $800,000.
• Average rent for an unfurnished 2 bedroom apartment will jump midyear to $620 per week.
• There will be more buyers than sellers.
• There will be more action in the inner suburbs than in the city. Prices for quality apartments in areas such as Indooroopilly and Toowong (where there is a train station and regional shopping, close to education facilities) will boom. By the end on 2008, it will be hard to find a good quality 2 bedroom apartment in these areas for less than $600,000.
• Noosa and Mooloolaba will rise again, as people looking in Brisbane for investments will see good value in the northern beaches, particularly beachfront apartments.
• 2009 will be better than 2008.

If you find any of these predictions hard to believe, for some buildings they are already true. For example, today:

• Small Off-the-plan 2 bedroom apartments in Brisbane, in Evolution, at 75 sqm, are selling for over $650,000.
• Two bedroom apartments are selling in Quay West, Arbour on Grey, Admiralty One and Admiralty Two for more than $700,000.
• Trilogy, in Spring Hill, has two bedroom apartments (less than 80 sqm, but with views) listed at more than $600,000. [However, a number of contracts have fallen through, as the valuations have come back $40,000 or so less than contract price.)
• New two bedroom apartments with river views in West End and Milton (e.g. in Flow and in Coronation Residences), which are not prime locations, are selling for more than $900,000.
• Off-the-plan apartments (two bedrooms, at least 85 sqm) are selling in quality developments in Indooroopilly, Toowong and Sherwood today for well more than $550,000.
• People have signed contracts for 2 bedroom apartments in Vision (e.g., level 35, 120 sqm) for more than $1,000,000. Settlement, if this building ever gets off the ground, will not be until 2011.
• The price range for a large 2 bedroom apartment in Mirvac's Tennyson Reach is $900,000 to $1,100,000. Settlement in 2010.
• Off-the-plan 2 bedroom apartments in Soul on the Gold Coast are, at a minimum, $1,800,000. Settlement not at least until 2011.

So I will not be selling in 2008.