Sunday, June 18, 2017

REIQ Quarterly Report

The real estate agent's industry group, REIQ, released a report this week into the Queensland residential property market.  From the REIQ press release, which is always somewhat optimistic:

"THE house market has rebounded from a period of low listings with a surge of stock, in some markets as much as 100 per cent more in the March quarter, according to the REIQ’s March Quarter Queensland Market Monitor.

Looking at southeast areas where the market is performing well, the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast were the two strongest performing markets in Queensland again this quarter, outperforming Brisbane (as they did last quarter).

The Sunshine Coast continues to grow and, along with the Gold Coast, these centres formed the top two most popular migration destinations for people moving within Australia in 2016.   More than 12,000 people moved to these two coastal destinations (excluding overseas immigration) last year, according to ABS data.

Noosa was the top annual median house performer with an annual growth of 9.2 per cent compared with March 2016. This has positioned Noosa as the second-most expensive house market with an annual median sale price of $615,000.

The unit market over the past 12 months has begun to show signs of easing, with the annual median unit price falling 1.9 per cent to $445,000.  However, that slight easing doesn’t represent the whole story for Brisbane’s unit and townhouse market.

There are suburbs that have done well this quarter, including Albion (up 5 per cent since December), Bulimba (up 26.8 per cent this quarter), Indooroopilly (up 18.5 per cent), New Farm (up 7.5 per cent), Rochedale (21.1 per cent), Taringa (4.8 per cent) and Toowoong (up 3.2 per cent since December).  [Editor note:  this is likely because of new apartments being sold for the first time, not price increases in existing apartments.]
  
Brisbane LGA suburbs where units have done well over 12 months and five years include:
  • ·       Annerley
  • ·       Balmoral
  • ·       Bridgeman Downs
  • ·       Coopers Plains
  • ·       Coorparoo
  • ·       Darra
  • ·       Greenslopes
  • ·       Highgate Hill
  • ·       Manly
  • ·       Manly West
  • ·       Mount Gravatt
  • ·       Norman Park
  • ·       Red Hill
  • ·       Richlands
  • ·       Rochedale
  • ·       Toowong
  • ·       Wakerley
  • ·       Wynnum

Units are becoming more popular with Queenslanders. CoreLogic has reported that 17 per cent of Queenslanders live in an apartment, just behind New South Wales’ 22 per cent and ahead of Victoria’s 15 per cent.

“The REIQ is confident the long-term future of apartments is secure and particularly in the inner-city where such exciting projects as Queen’s Wharf and the Howard Smith Wharves are adding to the night-time economy of inner Brisbane.  Added to South Bank, Milton’s Caxton Street and the Barracks, the West End, and Eat Street Markets, this is a diverse and vibrant inner-city and the demand for inner-city apartments will continue to grow over time,” Ms Mercorella from REIQ said.

Saturday, June 17, 2017

Brisbane off-the-plan market "subdued"

Place Real Estate Agents issue a quarterly report as to Brisbane apartment sales.  It is worth studying.  See Place Projects website.

From their recent report for the March 2017 quarter:

As expected, the March 2017 quarter brought another period of subdued sales activity across Inner Brisbane’s off the plan apartment market as sales momentum continues to soften.

The Inner Brisbane apartment market saw just 272 unconditional transactions take place throughout the rst quarter of 2017, a substantial decline of 67% from the same period 12 months prior, which recorded 828 unconditional sales. Meanwhile, the weighted average sale price recovered over the past 12 month period, increasing by 5% from $602,415 in the March 2016 period to $629,963 in the March 2017 period.
  • Inner Brisbane’s off the plan apartment market recorded 272 unconditional transactions over the March quarter, the lowest level of sales since the June 2011 period. This re ects a 13.7% decline from the December 2016 quarter.
  • Just over $171.4 million worth of apartment sales were recorded throughout the quarter.
  • There are currently 67 projects being sold off the plan in Inner Brisbane, with just two projects reporting for the rst time during the quarter. These include Augustus Residences and The One, adding an additional 151 apartments to the market.
  • A weighted average sale price of $629,963 was recorded for
    the period, an increase of 5% from the corresponding period
    12 months prior. This is indicative of a slight change in the product mix across the market, resulting in higher sale prices.

  • Augustus Residences, located in Toowong, was the top performer for the quarter, recording 61 unconditional transactions. 
The Brisbane CBD saw very little activity during the March 2017 quarter, with just 16 unconditional transactions recorded for the period. With no new projects released throughout the quarter, the CBD continues to sell down current apartment stock.


A weighted average sale price of $668,750 was recorded for the three month period, re ecting a 3.8% decline from the previous quarter, indicating a slight increase in the level of investment stock that transacted during the period. Brisbane Skytower recorded the highest number of unconditional transactions across the CBD market during the March quarter, recording a total of 12 sales.

The majority of transactions that occurred within the precinct were in two bedroom con gurations, accounting for 88% of total sales. The remaining 12% of transactions for the period were in one bedroom configurations.

A total of 225 out of 1,498 apartments remain for sale across four projects in the CBD including The Midtown, 111 Quay Apartments, Skytower and Mary Lane. 



Friday, June 16, 2017

Queensland Budget taxes absentee land owners

The Queensland Government’s 2017-18 budget announced a number of key tax changes relevant to Queensland property investors.

New land tax surcharge for “absentee land owners” from 1 July 2017

  • A new 1.5% land tax surcharge is being introduced for “absentee” land owners with land holdings valued at $350,000 or more. 
  • Absentee land owners are already subject to higher rates of land tax (and lower land value thresholds) when compared with individual tax payers. Draft legislation released this week indicates the Government intends the new 1.5% surcharge to be introduced as an increase to the existing rates without any expansion of the existing concept of who is an “absentee” for land tax purposes.
  • The new surcharge rates will apply to land tax assessments issued on and after 1 July 2017, which will be based on a person’s Queensland landholdings as at midnight on 30 June 2017.  As a result, there is limited time to make any changes to property ownership arrangements before the new rules take effect.
No increase to Foreign Acquirer Transfer Duty Surcharge, but certain changes proposed to its application

In 2016, the Queensland State Government introduced an additional foreign acquirer duty surcharge (AFAD) which applies to transactions involving interests in what is called “AFAD residential land”.

In a welcome development, no changes have been announced to the existing Foreign Acquirer Transfer Duty Surcharge. The surcharge rate will stay at 3% (which is significantly less than the 8% and 7% surcharge rate that applies in New South Wales and Victoria, respectively).

However, the draft legislation proposes some additional changes to the operation of AFAD in Queensland.
·         The draft legislation expands the meaning of AFAD residential land to include “chattels” in Queensland which “can be directly linked to, or is incidental to, the use and occupation of the land”.  Currently, only residential land and not chattels attract the surcharge rate of duty.  The move to include chattels in the surcharge duty base is a response to Government concern about the way in which value can be allocated between land and chattels.  The changes remove any incentive for value shifting.
·         The draft legislation will expand the application of AFAD to certain agency transactions affecting AFAD residential land.  Currently, the agency provisions in the Qld Duties Act permit a foreign principal to avoid AFAD by using a non-foreign agent to enter into an agreement for transfer (i.e., when duty is originally assessed).  The proposed amendments effectively mean that, where a principal is a foreign person at the time the relevant transfer of AFAD residential land occurs, the agreement will need to be reassessed as if AFAD applied to the agreement. 
·         The draft legislation also proposes removing the ability of foreign companies (pre-incorporation) to acquire AFAD residential land without incurring an AFAD liability through the use of an Australian entity to enter into an initial agreement for the transfer of land prior to the foreign company’s registration.  Currently under the Qld Duties Act, the initial agreement for the transfer would not attract AFAD and the subsequent transfer to the foreign company (post-incorporation) would be exempt.  The proposed amendments will require such an agreement to be reassessed as if AFAD applies and the subsequent transfer will not be exempt unless the duty (including AFAD) has been paid.

REIQ says Brisbane apartment market is oversupplied

The REIQ reports, unsurprisingly, that the supply of apartments in Brisbane is showing an upwards trend, and is an oversupplied market.  I suspect the trend is that things will get worse for sellers, rather than better, over the next 12 months.

Thursday, June 15, 2017

REIQ says Brisbane apartment market is falling

According to the REIQ, which is a real estate agents' industry group, the Brisbane apartment market is falling.


Monday, May 22, 2017

New Depreciation Rules only apply to properties purchased after 9 May 2017

Under the new rules which are yet to be legislated by Parliament, investors will be able to depreciate new plant and equipment assets within a new property and items they add to their property; however subsequent owners who acquire a property after 9 May 2017 will not be able to claim depreciation on existing plant and equipment assets.
Investors will still be able to claim qualifying capital works deductions, including any additional capital works carried out by themselves or a previous owner.
See also BMT blog

Monday, May 15, 2017

Five months supply

A report from RP Data CoreLogic today says that there is about 5 months supply of property for sale in Brisbane.  This does not include off the plan properties that are for sale.
The months of supply figure compares the number of unique properties advertised for sale to the number of transactions in the market.  The analysis provides an insight into how long it should take to clear the volume of stock currently available for sale.  Off-the-plan housing stock is typically not advertised for sale as individual properties and as a result is not included within this analysis.
Based on the relationship between demonstrated housing demand and advertised stock levels, CoreLogic is seeing relatively more stock available for sale compared to demand for that stock across the capital cities at the moment.

Sunday, May 14, 2017

Sunland Abian Apartment Resales on Alice Street

Sunland is in the final stages of completing Abian on Alice Street, in Brisbane city.  The building is high end residential, overlooking the Brisbane Botanical Gardens.  Settlement of new, off-the-plan apartments, is planned for June.

Sunland reports that the development is sold out.  A few apartments are available for resale:
  • Apt 404, 4th floor, 1 bed, 1 study, 2 cars, 84 sqm, $695,000
  • Apt 1204, 12th floor, 2 bed, 2 bathrooms, 2 cars, 112 sqm, $1.3 million
  • Apt 1603, 16 floor, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2 cars, 225 sqm, $2.7 million
  • Apt 2703, 27th floor, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 cars, 225 sqm, $2.7 million
The larger apartments are about $12,000 a sqm.

Next door, is Quay West, built by Mirvac about 20 years ago.  It is interesting to compare recent sales in Quay West.  For example, Lot 60, which is 1 bed, 1 bath, 1 car on about level 10, at 75 sqm, sold in January for $500,000.  Lot 102, which is the same apartment on a higher floor, sold late last year for $513,000.

Also,
  • Apt 2102 on the 21st floor is up for auction, which will be a good guide to market price.
  • Apt 1203, 12th floor, 1 bed, 1 bath, 1 car, 75 sqm is listed for sale fully furnished at $510,000
  • See also Apt 2001
The Quay West apartments are less than $7,000 a sqm.

It will be interesting to see whether the Quay West apartments increase in value or the Abian decrease in value.  Abian, being newer, should have higher values than Quay West, but nearly double the value is hard to explain.

Saturday, May 6, 2017

Uncertainty

From RP Data CoreLogic:

There’s a lot of uncertainty in the property market right now.

On the one hand property has boomed in Sydney and Melbourne triggering concerns of overvaluations and a property bubble.

On the other hand property has dropped in Brisbane (down 9.1% from its 2008 peak) and Perth (down 18.5% from its 2007 peak) because of a mining downturn.

Wednesday, May 3, 2017

Jack Russell beats the body corporate

The body corporate adjudicator recently allowed a dog to reside in an apartment, even though a number of apartments in the building were used for short term or holiday rentals.

See The Mirage [2017].

"Pets are not necessarily incompatible with high density living. No evidence has been provided that this dog is inherently unsuited to predominantly indoor living.

While it is not possible to determine the basis upon which owners in general meeting voted against motion 11, submissions by the committee and two lot owners raised hypothetical concerns. In particular they are concerned that if the dog barks, the body corporate would not be able to take enforcement action, because the applicants only stay in their unit for one or two weeks per year. In my view it is unreasonable to refuse permission to keep a pet based on hypothetical concerns, without a cogent basis to believe the animal will actually cause problems or the lot owner will not comply with conditions of approval. It is appropriate to impose conditions to avoid problems arising, and to withdraw approval if those conditions are not met.

Similarly, it is difficult to see how the body corporate would not be able to take enforcement action in the event that the applicants’ dog causes a nuisance. While there may be a time delay between when a breach of the conditions occurs, and taking of enforcement action, I do not believe this means that the conditions of approval cannot be enforced against the applicants. The applicants are the owners of unit 25, they stay in unit 25 whenever they visit the scheme and the requested approval relates to the keeping of a dog in unit 25 only. It stands to reason that if the applicants are in breach of the conditions of approval, then the body corporate could withdraw the approval and they would not be able to bring their pet dog into the scheme on future visits to their unit. 

While I note the concerns raised by the owners of unit 45 regarding temporary or short term approvals, any such approval must be given by the body corporate in general meeting in accordance with by-law 11. Further, there is no legal basis for owners to be forced to allow short or long-term tenants to keep a pet in their lot. Even if the Body Corporate approves dogs generally, or in a specific case, a tenant still requires the approval of the lot owner under normal tenancy arrangements. If owners in the letting pool do not want dogs in their lots, they do not have to allow them. Potentially the building manager could decline to accept lots in the letting pool where pets are allowed in that lot."

Tuesday, May 2, 2017

Recent Brisbane City Apartment Sales

M on Mary
Apt 1506, 1 bed, 1 bath, no car - $310,000

Charlotte Towers
Apt 4011, 1 bed, 1 bath, 1 car - $390,000
Apt 2804, 1 bed, 1 bath, no car - $311,000
Apt 3602 - 1 bed, 1 bath, 1 car - $410,000

Casino Towers
Apt 2306, 1 bed, 1 bath, no car - $310,000

Riverplace
Apt 277, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $600,000
Apt 157, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1 car - $552,000
Apt 175, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1 car - $552,500
Apt 234, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $772,000

Aurora
Apt 528, 2 bed, 2 bath, 2 car - $808,000

Admiralty Towers Two
Apt 3, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car - $975,000
Apt 95, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car - $1,350,000
Apt 100, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $730,000

Felix
Apt 216, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $520,000

Admiralty Quays
Apt 49, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car - $1,075,000

More the most part, these prices are similar to prices that were being achieved 7 years ago.  Riverplace has had the biggest increase in value over this period.

Monday, May 1, 2017

Brisbane Apartment Prices in Freefall

The latest CoreLogic report, issued today, shows that the prices of Brisbane apartments are falling, dramatically.
See https://issuu.com/corelogicaustralia/docs/2017-05-01--corelogichomevalueindex

Brisbane apartment prices (to 30 April 2017)
April 2017 - down 3.1%
Quarter - down 1.9%
Year to Date - down 2.1%
Year on Year - down 3.1% 
Median price based on settled sales of Brisbane apartments over the quarter - $400,000

A 3% decline on a $500,000 apartment is a loss of $15,000.

Rents are also dropping, on my rough calculation by about 5%.

Brisbane apartment sales slow

The AFR on 27 April 2017 had a story on page 39 about apartment sales slowing in Brisbane and Melbourne.  "Slower off-theplan apartment sales in Melbourne and Brisbane have resulted in fewer projects staring construction, a sign the apartment markets in these two cities may have peaked."

The story says Brisbane is worse than Sydney and Melbourne.  "While it has 11,000 units due to be completed between late 2017 and 2022, current pre-sales of apartments have slowed forcing developers to abandon projects.  ... Only 52% of the 5,897 apartments currently marketed have been pre-sold."

There is good news.  "Despite many off-the-plan sales having extended settlement periods, this has not translated into substantial settlement failure across the market.  However, projects completed later int he cycle may be exposed to higher levels of settlement risk than those approaching completion."

Sunday, April 30, 2017

Trade Marks and Building Names

The Federal Court recently decided in favour of the onsite manager against an offsite real estate agent in relation to use by the offsite agent of a trademark used by the onsite manager.  The trademark was the same as the building name, but this did not allow the offset real estate agent to use the building name as a trademark.

See
Accor Australia & New Zealand Hospitality Pty Ltd v Liv Pty Ltd 
[2017] FCAFC 56
http://www.judgments.fedcourt.gov.au/judgments/Judgments/fca/full/2017/2017fcafc0056

"243    In our view, the underlying principle reflected in the reasoning quoted above applies to the circumstances of the present case. Apartment owners enjoy the right to describe the location of their apartment by reference to the words “Harbour Lights” and they enjoy the right to let their apartment so described at that place.  Neither they, nor any third parties, enjoy the right to provide the registered services from the building or from any other place by reference to the words “Harbour Lights” based on any notion of invoking, in good faith, the use of the words on the footing that, because the complex is called “Harbour Lights”, the words form part of the common heritage in the nature of a town, suburb or municipality. 
244    The words are, of course, the name of a particular building complex configured in the way earlier described and thus the words necessarily identify (like all names attached to a particular building) a place on the planet as distinct from other places but that does not mean that the words thus become part of the “common heritage” giving rise to a “likelihood” that other traders would want to make honest use of the words in connection with similar services as an expression of the exercise of a “common right of the public”. The primary judge correctly concluded that the trade mark is inherently adapted to distinguish the designated services of the owner from the services of others."

Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Body Corporates in Queensland can't prevent AirBNB in their buildings

This recent decision confirms previous decisions that a bylaw in a Queensland strata titled scheme that prevents short term rentals, such as AirBNB, is invalid.  Not a great result for apartment residents.
See  Macleay Tower & Villas [2017] QBCCMCmr 12 (17 January 2017)
 http://www.austlii.edu.au/cgi-bin/sinodisp/au/cases/qld/QBCCMCmr/2017/12.html

Wednesday, March 8, 2017

Brisbane Skyline Changes

This is a good article from the Brisbane Times:  Brisbane's Skyline to Be Transformed in 2022

It has interactive photos with sliders that show the likely changes.

Sunday, February 5, 2017

Western Suburbs Brisbane Apartments

A real estate agent has issued a interesting report regarding sales of houses and apartments in the Western suburbs of Brisbane (Indooroopilly, Taringa, Toowong, St Lucia.)  The report is available here.

According to this report, the 2016 market was worse than in 2013, 2014 and 2015, based on number of sales and also on total sales prices.

For example, in Indooroopilly, in 2015 a total of $130M in apartments were sold.  In 2016, this dropped to $60M.  In Toowong, $117M in 2015, dropped to $82M in 2016.

It seems that 2016 was a good time to buy but not a good time to sell?

The report lists the top 10 apartment sales in each suburb.  With a number of new buildings reaching completion in 2017, I suspect that the top sales in 2017 will be concentrated in a few of these new buildings.  For example, Aspect Property Group's Centra in Toowong has a number of apartments above $900,000 that settled in January 2017.  All of these sales will be higher than the top Toowong apartment sale for 2016, which was $862,500.

When looking a new buildings, keep in mind this report --  you may be paying top dollar!

Saturday, February 4, 2017

Valuer says Brisbane will get worse

Independent property valuers Herron Todd White say that the Brisbane apartment market is about to enter a decline.  It looks like values will go down.  We have not had a boom in Brisbane since 2007.  Who said property prices double every ten years?  If you bought in 2007, you may still be underwater!

The report says:
"Brisbane property has been a heartbreaker over the past few years, offering so much promise, but failing to live up to the hype – and anyone hoping 2017 would prove to be “The Year of the Brissie” will probably be disappointed again.

The hoodoo continues to be employment-fuelled interstate migration and, truth be told, we can’t see anything on the economic horizon to suggest southern buyers will start heading here in droves.
That’s not to say we should be ignored - on the contrary, Brisbane is one of the country’s most forgiving capital city markets. There are very few disappointed long-term buyers in our sunshine- state’s big city, provided they stuck with the fundamentals and bought the right property in the right position at the right price. With this historic performance as a foundation, there are opportunities to get into Brisbane and hold tight that will leave you feeling very satis ed with your decision come a market cycle or two.

Herron Todd White Brisbane has always been keen on well located second hand units as a strategy for those trying to get a foot on the market. They usually offer an affordable option in a great location, and while capital gains aren’t always mind blowing, good tenant demand ensures you can continue to service the mortgage without too much stress. There is, however, a very real oversupply risk looming for investor units in our city as new stock struggles to find demand. This is having a negative flow on to our traditionally solid second-hand unit market. If you buy investor-grade unit stock in particular – new or old – please tread with caution in 2017."


Friday, February 3, 2017

Student "Apartments"

There is a social media advertising campaign underway for Atira Student Living in South Brisbane.  The rooms are extremely small:
  • 16 sqm for a studio
  • 21 sqm for a twin studio
  • 33 sqm for a 2 bedroom apartment
  • 55 sqm for a 3 bedroom apartment.
A typical apartment bedroom (4m x 3m) is 12 sqm.  A typical hotel room is about 33 sqm.  A small two bedroom apartment in a low quality complex is about 75 sqm.   There are many two bedroom apartments in Brisbane that are 110 sqm and larger.  These Atria rooms are small.  And they are charging more than $460 per week for a studio.  (A furnished one bedroom that is 72 sqm in a good location is about $550.)

Students are best advised to look at regular apartments on realestate.com.au and compare against student apartments before renting.

Thursday, February 2, 2017

Brisbane Still Going Backwards

According to RP Data CoreLogic, Brisbane apartments did badly in 2016.  See report here.
Brisbane apartment prices (to 31 January 2017):
January 2017 - down 0.1%
Quarter - up 0.2%
Year on Year - down 2.7% 
Median price based on settled sales of Brisbane apartments over the quarter - $380,000

The report says:
Mr Lawless cites the large number of high-rise units currently under construction as another factor that may slow overall housing market performance. He said, “Dwelling approvals have already peaked across the high rise sector, as have construction commencements. However, the unit supply pipeline remains at unprecedented levels with a large proportion of these high rise units located within the inner city regions.”
“As these units flow through to settlement, the risk of buyers receiving a finance shock is becoming heightened.”
”Metadata flowing across CoreLogic valuation platforms is showing more than 40% of off-the-plan settlement valuations are coming in under contract price across the Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth unit sectors. While the large majority of these ‘under valuations’ are not showing a significant gap between the contract price and settlement valuation, more significant differences can be seen in some projects and precincts. Buyers who receive a valuation lower than the original contract price will generally require a larger than expected deposit in order to meet the loan to valuation ratio required by the lender.” 

Wednesday, February 1, 2017

Solicitor Assaults Neighbour - Then Sells House

Last year, it was reported that controversial Brisbane solicitor, Robert Hynes, assaulted his neighbour, who happens to be a barrister.  The Hynes family house is now for sale.  The house, in 18 Ormond Street, in Ascot, Brisbane, is in Hynes' wife's name.  She purchased the house in 2009 for $2M.  Hynes Lawyers went through a restructure in 2013, and not everyone was happy.  Restructured and now Hynes Legal, this firm is well known for its aggressive body corporate and management rights practice.

The advertorial in the AFR and The Domain, without some of this detail, is below.


Thursday, January 26, 2017

Brisbane City Apartment Sales

Recent sales in November and December 2016:

Parklands
Apt 3104 - 2 bed, 1 bath, 1 car - $590,000
Apt 3036 - 3 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $650,000

Charlotte Towers
Apt 1207 - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $460,000
Apt 1502 - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $490,000
Apt 1704 - 1 bed, 1 bath, 0 car - $322,500
Apt 602 - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $510,000

Riparian
Apt 4301 - 3 bed, 3 bath, 2 car - $2,562,000

Admiralty Towers One
Apt 135 - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $615,000
Apt 21 - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $720,000

Admiralty Towers Two
Apt 29 - 3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car - $1,059,000

Meriton Infinity
Apt 2907 - 1 bed, 1 bath, 1 car - $420,000
Apt 5006 - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $600,000
Apt 5406 - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $580,000

Riverplace
Apt 109 - 1 bed, 1 bath, 1 car - $516,800

Festival Towers
Apt 2905 - 1 bed, 1 bath, 1 car - $390,000

Aurora
Apt 248 - 2 bed, 1 bath, 1 car - $400,000

Capital gains were best for direct riverfront buildings and worst for the large apartment towers built by Devine (Charlotte Towers and Festival Towers and Aurora).  The Devine developers now run Metro.


Recent Southbank Sales in Brisbane

Arbour on Grey
180 Grey St
3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car, 191 sqm, sold for $1,165,000
2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car, 106 sqm, sold for $740,000
174 Grey St
3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car, 186 sqm, sold for $1,487,500
3 bed? 128 sqm - sold for $820,000
172 Grey St
3 bed, 2 bath, 2 car, 155 sqm, sold for $1,010,000

Saville
161 Grey St
2 bed, 2 bath, 2 car, 119 sqm, sold for $920,000

Galleria
15 Tribune St
2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car, 120 sqm, sold for $570,000

Saville Southbank

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

Howard Smith Wharves

Under the Storey Bridge are some old wharves.  I remember in the late 1980s parking my car on the wharves in this area.  There are now plans to redevelop the land, to build a small hotel and exhibition area, plus restaurants and cafes.  See http://howardsmithwharves.com

If completed, this will add value to the nearby apartments, Riverplace, the Admiralty buildings, and others nearby.

Construction was supposed to have started at the end of last year.

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Is it better to rent or buy?

Here is a comparison of two similar apartments in a Brisbane inner suburb, in the same complex, with each apartment being side by side.  These are good apartments, two bedrooms, two bathrooms, each 119 sqm total size, in a complex with a pool and gym.  Both were sold for similar prices.

Apartment A - owner occupant
Price - $465,000 plus stamp duty $7,500 approx.
Repairs and improvements before moving in - approx $8,000
Monthly costs
Loan repayment - $2,500 a month
Rates - $107 a month
Water - $98 a month
Body Corp - $375 a month
Insurance - $20 a month
Total - $3,100 a month

Apartment B - rental
Price -$450,000 plus stamp duty $14,100 approx.
Rent per month - $2,210 per month

Thus, the renter is $890 a month or $10,680 a year better off, and had no capital outlays, and does not have to pay for repairs and improvements (usually another $100 a month on average).  The renter can easily move to another location if work needs to take the renter there.

Another way to look at this is that the weekly rent should be $715 a week to cover all costs that are included in the rent.  But the rent is only $510 a week.  The landlord is subsiding the tenant to the tune of $200 a week.

Saturday, January 21, 2017

Brisbane Apartments -- What happens next?

Most predictions for the Brisbane apartment market for 2017 are that prices will fall, and that there is going to be an oversupply or glut of apartments.  Well, maybe.

I think there may be a glut of certain kinds of apartments in certain areas.  For example, there are a large number of apartments under construction in Bowen Hills and Newstead.  Many of these apartments are small apartments in large buildings.  Some of the buildings are not in great locations or have poor aspects.  I am not sure who will want to live in these apartments.

But I don't think the news is all grim.  My reasons for saying this:

1.   In certain areas, there is no a glut of apartments.  Or even where a number of new buildings are under construction or have just been completed, the area has many facilities and a good location.  For example, South Brisbane, Indooroopilly and Toowong have new apartment buildings, but these are excellent areas, and can probably hold up to the new stock entering the market.

2.   Existing apartments that are 10 to 20 years only are good value.  Many are large apartments and are located in the better areas, and have good views.  Compared with newer apartments, which are smaller, the older apartments look very price competitive.

3.  There is a shortage of large apartments.  As baby boomers look to downsize, and wealthy families move from Asia to Brisbane, they are looking for apartments that are more than 120 sqm in size.  There are very few apartments in Brisbane that are spacious and luxurious.

4.  Compared with Sydney, or the freestanding house market in Brisbane, prices for apartments have been relatively flat for the past 2 to 4 years.

5.  Rents have decreased for some apartment types, but I think that rents will not keep decreasing.  I suspect that this time next year, we may start to see rent increases for certain apartments.

6.  Not all apartment buildings that have been announced or that are being sold off-the-plan will actually be built.  The potential oversupply is less than anticipated.  (That being said, there are a lot of apartments under construction, and there will be an oversupply.)

One example to consider.  Sunland is building Abian on the corner of Albert Street and Alice Street in Brisbane city.  The apartments were sold off the plan about 2 years ago (it has sold out) and settlement is likely to take place in June and July this year.  It has a great location, overlooking the Botanical Gardens, and will not be built out other than on the rear side.  It is on a corner block.  It is tall, but there are only about 150 apartments in the building.  Most are large.  The quality of the build and finishings are reported to be super.  There are resales available, and it is said that these kinds of prices are being achieved:
  • Two bedroom, 69 sqm - from $680,000
  • Two bedroom, 103 sqm internal- from $1,150,000
  • Two bedroom and study, about 135 sqm internal - from $1,175,000
  • Three bedroom and study, 150 sqm internal - from $1,700,000
  • Three bedroom and media room, 200 sqm internal - from $2,700,000
This does not suggest to me that there is oversupply of this kind of apartment in this location.  (Or do these high prices tell us that a crash is coming?)

On Wednesday, the AFR had an article that said:  "... This year, that courage may well pay off for investors in established apartments.  In Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide, owners of these older style 1930s to 1970s built apartments saw little or no return last year and would have enviously watched houses perform substantially better.  This divergence in performance has been due to an oversupply of new units suppressing the entire apartment sector.  But with a slew of recent ABS data showing the apartment building boom is fading, we may well see the first signs of a recovery in older style unit prices and a vindication for remaining faithful to these assets in hard times."

Is now the time to buy established Brisbane apartments?


Monday, January 9, 2017

Admiralty Towers One Sales

Some recent sales from Admiralty Towers One, which is located at 35 Howard Street in Brisbane.  This is a direct riverfront building, although not all apartments have river views.  Some apartments have spectatular views.  The apartments are larger than most apartments being built today, with some one bedrooms about 70 sqm and some 2 bedrooms more than 130 sqm.

Apt 21 - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $720,000
Apt 56  - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $710,000
A[t 49 -  2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $692,000
Apt 135 - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $615,000
Apt 121 - 2 bed, 2 bath, 1 car - $575,000
Apt 88  - 1 bed, 1 bath, 1 car - $415,000

Monday, December 26, 2016

Short term letting and Airbnb

It appears that in Queensland, it is difficult, if not impossible, to prevent lot owners in a strata titled building from renting their apartments via short term rental services such as Airbnb.

A recent decision of Lynkim Lodge [2016] QBCCMCmr 419 (14 September 2016) supports this.  See decision here.

However, most residential buildings prohibit the use of lots for commercial or business purposes.  When does renting an apartment on Airbnb stop being a residential purpose and become a commercial purpose?

In NSW, there is an action group trying to protect residents of apartment buildings from the dangers of short term rentals.  See NeighboursNotStrangers.  See also here.  They report that apartments in buildings with high short term rentals will drop in value and that there are higher body corporate costs.

Friday, December 16, 2016

Big Discounts to Lure Chinese

On page 3 of the Australian Financial Review on 15 December 2016 is a story titled "Big discounts to lure Chinese unit buyers."  It says that property developers are discretely offering discounts on new apartments in Brisbane and elsewhere to Chinese buyers, in a sign that lending restrictions and oversupply are beginning to affect prices.

Price discounts of up to 7% are being offered on Chinese property website fang.com.

An example is given of discounts on apartments in the Brisbane One complex near South Bank.  For a two bedroom apartment of 86 sqm, there is a $40,000 discount, so that the price is now $675,000.  To me, that discounted price seems to be over-priced!

"The market has slowed down a lot over the past six months and recently the only deals that are moving are those with big incentives."

A real estate agent reported that a number of his clients in Shanghai had been unable to obtain finance and therefore could not settle, and so lost their deposit.

Thursday, October 13, 2016

Air Space and Common Property

A recent High Court decision supports a decision by a body corporate that did not allow an owner of an apartment in Noosa to join two balconies.  Doing so would appropriate air space which is common property.  The law in Queensland requires such an appropriation of common property to be approved by a vote of all owners without dissent.  If the body corporate in a vote denies that approval, and such a decision is unreasonable, then it can be overturned.  Here, the High Court said it was not unreasonable to deny an application by an owner to appropriate common property air space.

See High Court decision and this good article.

In contrast, see this recent decision where a body corporate's denial was found to be unreasonable.

Sunday, October 9, 2016

Brisbane Rental Yields

The resale market for apartments in Brisbane at present is slow.  There are bargains if you are buying, and it is taking a long time to sell if you are a seller, and often the seller is disappointed with the sales price. 

At present, for apartments in Brisbane that are being sold resale (that is, not by the developer off the plan), the sales prices are decreasing.  Rents are also decreasing, as there is an oversupply.  This is a generalisation, and does not apply to all apartment types or all areas.

I have recently studied the Indooroopilly area.  The gross rental yields are good.  For reasonable quality 2 bedroom apartments, prices have dropped about 10 to 15%.  So apartment that were selling for $485K to $530K last year are now selling in the range of $425K to $500K, with most sales being about $450K to $465K.  Some vendors are selling for more than $100,000 less than what they paid.  The rents for these apartments have dropped from a range of $520 to $560 a week to $480 to $510 a week.  New developments with smaller but modern apartments are doing promotions such as 4 weeks free rent.  On an apartment that I own in Indooroopilly, I am getting a gross yield of 5.7% , where the lease was signed last week.  

Small city apartments are struggling, esp those that are rented in short term rental pools.  I have seen one apartment building in an Accor rental pool where net returns (after rates and body corporates etc) on large one bedroom furnished apartments have dropped from $13,000 a year to less than $5,000 a year. 

Friday, September 9, 2016

Declining Apartment Market in Brisbane

The September HTW Month-in-Review report suggests that for Brisbane, it is time to selling apartments and buy houses.  I have noticed that prices for apartments being resold are soft.  An above average apartment that was sold off the plan in 2007 for $550,000 is lucky to sell today for $470,000.

See attached from HTW (click on image to enlarge)